Reply #32: McVain has to keep the coalition together and that's how he will lose

[Hippo_Tron]

Bush won in 2004 because key wedge issues for the GOP, immigration in particular, were not in the debate. Bush was able to stay on message which was basically "terra terra terra, gay marriage, terra" and Kerry's strategists had no shot of getting him off message because the family values shit made sure the base turned out and terrorism trumped everything else for the independents.

What McVain will quickly find is that there is no message that he can stay on that will keep the coalition together that Bush won with in 2004. If the Democratic strategists have any brains whatsoever they will be able to bait McVain into doing and saying stupid thing after stupid thing after stupid thing while he tries to appeal both to the base and to moderates and independents.

It also doesn't take a genius to know that he will attempt to paint Hillary as unable to be commander-in-chief because she's a woman or Obama as unable to be commander-in-chief because he's inexperienced. If I were advising McCain I'd tell him that instead of doing that he should do something that the Democrats aren't expecting. But I think Karl Rove is firmly convinced that divide and conquer will work again and that is what we'll see.