Reply #31: If Edwards were to win in Iowa, he could survive a 3rd in New Hampshire,

[saltpoint]

but it would likely be a stronger 3rd than it is pre-win in Iowa.

If Clinton wins in Iowa, she is going to be much more difficult for anyone to dislodge.

If Clinton places third in Iowa behind Edwards and Obama, her path toward the stage in Denver gets a bit steeper.

If Joe Biden surges in the next 2 weeks and places third ahead of one of the current 3 leaders, Biden contends for the nomination overnight.

In the Iowa caucus rules, the threshold support decides where the votes divide between first and second choices. A lot of people who like Gov. Richardson, and for good reason, may give Obama and Edwards enough to shove HClinton into third, and if it's evenly distributed by region, there could be significant showings by Biden and Richardson.