Reply #6: Kerry wins in a landslide

[incontrovertible]

Game Over, folks. Here's the real deal about this poll - the combined favorable / unfavorable ratings:

Overall opinion - Howard Dean
Very favorable 31%
Somewhat favorable 36%
Somewhat unfavorable 16%
Very unfavorable 13%
Not familiar 3%

Favorable: 67%
Unfavorable: 29% (incredible - he's history)


Overall opinion - John Edwards
Very favorable 38%
Somewhat favorable 36%
Somewhat unfavorable 5%
Very unfavorable 4%
Not familiar 17%
Not sure 1%

Favorable: 74%
Unfavorable: 09% (would be higher due to IWR if familiarity was higher)


Overall opinion - Richard Gephardt
Very favorable 34%
Somewhat favorable 41%
Somewhat unfavorable 14%
Very unfavorable 7%
Not familiar 3%
Not sure 1%

Favorable: 75%
Unfavorable: 21% (knee-jerk IWR one-issue voter reaction)


Overall opinion - John Kerry
Very favorable 40%
Somewhat favorable 39%
Somewhat unfavorable 7%
Very unfavorable 6%
Not familiar 7%
Not sure 1%

Favorable: 79%
Unfavorable: 13% (knee-jerk IWR reaction again)


The Dean Express has been derailed. Not only is he going to lose Iowa, he's going to come in third, then second (at best) to Kerry in New Hampshire, and then out.

Yeah, yeah, I know, "polls," and GOTV, and youthful Internet campaign full of vigor, and etc. Seen it before, did it myself in '92. Bottom line, the establishment has spoken, and Dean has been stopped. I didn't like it when it happened to Jerry, either, but reality is what it is.

Kerry's the nominee, and Clark will be crushed in New Hampshire.

You watch.