Reply #5: Why Zogby's New Method is Supposed Improvement

[Dancing_Dave]

Zogby did telephone polling for years, and still does some, but John Zogby feels that telephone polls have an unacceptable bias in this election. The reason is that cell phone numbers are never used. They don't come in reliable area coded lists that polsters know what to do with. But most college students these days have ONLY cell phones, and no residence phones of their own. This demographic is known from University-based polls to be anti-Bush.

Of course, there's some other demographics that prefer cell phones exclusively. Have you met any Drug Dealers for Bush? As far as I can see, the only drug dealers likely to vote for Bush are the ones who really work for the CIA! Or at least have some kind of a buisness arrangement with the Bush family....

Zogby's internet method is supposed to send the interactive poll invitations in some statistically balanced method. It's not just a poll he puts up at some site, which would obviously be susceptible to a lot of partisan bias, and perhaps some technical manipulation as well. How do they KNOW each person only votes only once in those on-site polls? Anyone with access to a few computers and perhaps a little technical cleverness can find a way to enter multiple votes!

Zogby thinks he's found a way around these problems. I'd trust his results a bit more than most "lies, damn lies and statistics".