Reply #9: There's more under the radar than you think....

[Dick_Tuck]

"Likely Voter" algorithms use things like did the person vote in the last election and is the person of an age/color/ethnicity that doesn't usually vote.

On the one hand, you have the Stern Schwing voters who don't vote unless Howard tells them to, e.g. NY Pataki v. Cuomo and NJ Whitman v. Florio. Then you have the 18-24 year olds, who only vote when there's a free drink. Both under-the-radar groups aren't going to show up in anything other than "registered voter" polls, where Kerry is dope slapping Bush all over the place.