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But there are reasons to doubt this will happen.
One thing I read recently pointed out that W has mentioned OBL's name voluntarilly only four times in that last year or so. I feel that if they thought they were going to catch him (or worse, if he was already caught and just waiting for Oct.) then Bush would talking about him all the time.
Remember, these guys are very good at pre-seeding the public conciousness with ideas so that when their big shoe drops, everyone is ready to respond "correctly". If they were optimistic, it would be non-stop "we must catch OBL!" from every right-winger and especially from the admin.
And that's just what you'll see if they do get on his trail. The instant they think they have a good chance to catch him, we'll be hearing about how important it is to catch him- probably from Bush himself. As long as they keep pretending he doesn't exist, I think it's a sign that we're safe from this kind of Oct. Surprise.
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