Reply #47: Clinton got 38% there in '92 and Ross Perot got 26%

[Hippo_Tron]

In all likelihood Bush would've carried that state without Perot in the race.

What NJSecularist ignores is trends. He cites the fact that Carter and Dukakis won West Virginia even in blowouts yet ignores the fact that Gore and Kerry did much better than Carter and Dukakis yet they still lost West Virginia. West Virginia is trending red because the GOP has become much better organized than they were in the 80's. They are much better able to win states like West Virginia by talking about guns and gays. Not to mention the fact that they scare the crap out of coal miners that Democrats will put them out of work with "fringe environmental policies".

Meanwhile people in places like Montana and Colorado are sick of Republican environmental policies (even though they also mine coal in Montana), they're sick of the war, they're sick of the shredding of the constitution and loss of civil liberties, and to a certain extent they're sick of the war on pot. Obama could easily win Montana if he could simply convince people there that he's not going to take away their guns. Schweitzer and Tester are just as liberal as Obama except for the gun issue.