Reply #25: Bush Is Toast

[Yavin4]

For the past two years and up until this last jobs report, I'd thought that Bush would win. However, after that last report, I believe that Bush will lose. He's grasping at straws at this point. The terror alerts are becoming routine. Thus, their impact on the public is declining. Iraq is out of control. The deficit is skyrocketing. Jobs are disappearing. Inflation is getting higher. Interest rates are going up. The stock markets are in decline. Most of these things are not going to turn around in Bush's favor in less than three months.

Bottom line, there are just too many strong fundamentals working against Bush at this point to turn things around. Will his convention give him a boost? Probably, maybe even a lead, but Kerry will quickly close that lead in Sept. and then re-take it for good after the debates.