Reply #5: I beg to differ

[DangerDave921]

I think she can cite internal polling data that shows Obama does not do as well as she does with blue collar, working class whites. Especially the big states like Ohio and PA. Indiana will be an interesting test. That's a big chunk of voters.

Here's Hillary's pitch (made in private of course): "Sure Obama will carry 90+ percent of the black vote. But guess what? I will too. Black people always go about 90% for the Dem candidate. So Obama does not advance the party in that regard. And sure Obama will carry the young voters. But guess what? Young voters (especially college kids) do not vote in the numbers that older people do. And I have huge majorities amongst older voters. And look at my small-town, blue-collar polling data from PA and OH. I win big majorities over Obama in those groups. Obama will simply not bring in the necessary votes in November."

Not saying it will work. But she has a halfway legitimate argument.