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Reply #3: Bettors don't overreact day to day [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
Awsi Dooger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 11:16 PM
Response to Original message
3. Bettors don't overreact day to day
Edited on Tue Apr-22-08 11:17 PM by Awsi Dooger
Not in total. And that's what you get on Intrade, a consensus of theoretical likelihood.

Obama has been as high as 87/13 recently, before sliding a bit.

Some of these talking heads would be well served to open an Intrade or Tradesports account and dabble occasionally, actual risk in their spare time. Or just check the odds and note when/if they sway dramatically. They might gain more big picture focus and not the moment to moment garbage.

Posters on DU don't like to hear it but as a speculator I value the down the road opinions of Scarborough, Buchanon and Tucker, more than others I can name. For whatever reason the right wing TV pundits generally seize the application aspect, how the critical voting blocks will react to a candidate/issue, unlike lefty pundits who typically defend the cause at the expense of actual analysis.

And for those ripping Scarborough, tonight he called Obama and Hillary, "two incredibly gifted candidates."
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