Reply #2: It's not just numerical.....

[nickn777]

Wins on March 4th in Ohio and Texas will give her lots of press attention...she'll claim that she is on her way to the nomination, there will be balloons, screaming crowds, lots of coverage, headlines, etc....March 5th headlines are LIKELY to be "Comeback KID" and that sort of crap..PREPARE FOR THIS

That, as Obama supporters, is what we must endure, that is ultimately, what could lose us the nomination....because look, in terms of raw numbers, your analysis looks pretty accurate...don't forget all the other states that have to vote as well, like Indiana, North Carolina, Mississippi, Wyoming, etc...all states that Obama will pick up delegates in. But again, the only thing that could stop Obama, is if she picks up so much momentum from March 4th, that she starts winning other states that Obama is currently favored in.

I think there are lots of questions remaining but i think there are some absolute "certainties" based on the makeup of the electorate, and one of those is the fact that Obama will NOT win Ohio or Texas. I think finding strategies to dampen her likely 3/4 sweep are important for Obama's campaign.