Reply #34: This wasn't to you.

[Drunken Irishman]

I feel Rasmussen will be the closest and I think this is just an uptick in support and nothing more. The reason Obama fans were touting polls is that they showed Obama gaining EVERY DAY most of the past few, not just once. There have been times throughout the past week where Clinton gained a point or two and Obama stayed where he currently is. But, in the end, the trend returned to Obama gaining one or two more points on average.

Hillary fans are really going out on a limb here, because this is only ONE DAY'S WORTH of a trend. With the margin of error, it's entirely possible for there to be a 2 or 3 point bump for just one day. It does not, however, show an increased trend for Hillary, just that she polled better than Obama one day and that can and probably will change by tomorrow.