Reply #35: Look, Ras's state level polls are one thing, his national polls are another

[FogerRox]

if you posted that, sorry, I missed it. Thats Ras's reputation, his state polls are not consistent with his national polls. If you didnt know that then its time to check it out, or put away the broad brush.

1)Ok, let me ask this... Ras says Edwards beats all repubs, whats your take on that ?

2)Ras says in every poll that includes HRC & Edwards, JE wins. Ditto.

....if you have never dove into the tabs on a poll, and looked at the breakdowns, methodology etc, I would ask that you keep you baseball bat in check. Many pollsters dont even release this info, not even in an executive summary. And then when a follow up poll is done a month later said pollster changes methodology.

I take it you dont look into the details to this level do you ?

If you believe Rasmussen, quite frankly, then you will have to believe that Bush is NOT the most unpopular president in the modern era.

Again, comparing Ras's state level polls with his national polls is asinine, Ras was fairly spot on in the DEM win in '06, look it up if want.

Ras had Tester up in Montana on Oct 29th, By the way, Tester won.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/senate_races/montana_senate_burns_r_trailing_tester_d_by_two

Oct 31st Webb is up, Webb won

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/senate_races/virginia_senate_webb_d_now_leading_allen_r

In fact Ras was very close on the senate balance of power

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_2006/senate_balance_of_power_2006/senate_balance_of_power_tennessee_and_montana_now_toss_ups

Menendez won by 8, Ras said 5 4 days before the election. Many polls has Kean winning just weeks before election day. We had a tremendous ground game in NJ, we put 14,000 canvassers out on election day, this pushed the DEM vote out, a good ground game is worth 4 to 6 points. Which is why Menendez stretched the lead out in the final days. Some thought Kean would win, but not Ras.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/senate_races/new_jersey_senate_menendez_now_up_by_5



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