Reply #8: 5th R! I agree with your conclusion...

[jenmito]

"Personally, I predict that Obama will squeeze out a close victory in Iowa. I also feel that if Edwards were to win that he most likely doesn't have the money to stay competitive in the other early states, even if an Iowa victory were to give him a major boost. Next week the Iowa Independent will give a similar breakdown of the Republicans. I am curious to see where they place Huckabee, who I think is a dark horse there and really could change the whole game if he pulls ahead of Romney and wins. Stay tuned."

But the latest poll shows Hillary with 27%, Obama with 25%, and Edwards with just 20%.

And I think Edwards' loss will be Obama's gain. :)