Reply #23: Not a bad poll, but apples and oranges

[Kurt_and_Hunter]

the University of Iowa poll doesn't provide the names of the candidates. People are just asked to name who they'll vote for.

In many ways that's a superior approach, but it prevents that poll's numbers being compared heads-up with other polls.

It also has a likely caucus goer model that is ten times the size of any actual caucus turn-out, but again, that's not necessarily wrong. Just different.

(It is essentially impossible to do an accurate likely caucus goer poll because the caucuses are so small... about 100,000 will participate out of whatever Iowa's population is.)