Reply #16: 5/3 poll: Dems win w/Nat'l % of vote: (O/H/E) 50/49/50 v Rudi, 58/57/64 v Mitt, 52/50/52 v McCain

[papau]

5/3 poll: Dems win w/Nat'l % of vote: (O/H/E) 50/49/50 v Rudi, 58/57/64 v Mitt, 52/50/52 v McCain

So all Dems win vs any GOP now in the race - interesting - :-)

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/18505030/site/newsweek/page/2

The Elephant in the Room
George W. Bush has the lowest presidential approval rating in a generation, and the leading Dems beat every major ’08 Republican. Coincidence?
By Marcus Mabry Newsweek May 5, 2007

May 5, 2007 - It’s hard to say which is worse news for Republicans: that George W. Bush now has the worst approval rating of an American president in a generation, or that he seems to be dragging every ’08 Republican presidential candidate down with him. But According to the new NEWSWEEK Poll, the public’s approval of Bush has sunk to 28 percent, an all-time low for this president in our poll, and a point lower than Gallup recorded for his father at Bush Sr.’s nadir. The last president to be this unpopular was Jimmy Carter who also scored a 28 percent approval in 1979. This remarkably low rating seems to be casting a dark shadow over the GOP’s chances for victory in ’08. The NEWSWEEK Poll finds each of the leading Democratic contenders beating the Republican frontrunners in head-to-head matchups.<snip>
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Former New York City major Rudolph Giuliani receives the highest marks for having shown political courage in the past among the current major candidates from either party (48 percent of registered voters say he has), followed by Hillary Clinton at 43 percent, John McCain at 42, John Edwards at 33 and Barack Obama at 30. Mitt Romney comes in last among the six leading candidates at 11 percent. Clinton receives the highest marks for showing political courage in the current campaign, though, with 34 percent of voters saying she has, followed by 33 percent for Obama, 30 percent for Edwards, 28 for McCain, 25 for Giuliani and 11 for Romney.

Where Clinton remains the undisputed champ is among Democrats. When matched against her main rivals for the Democratic nomination, Clinton is the choice of 51 percent of Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters over Obama’s 39 percent; and she defeats Edwards 57 percent to 38 percent. Obama has not substantially narrowed Clinton’s lead since the early March NEWSWEEK poll, where he trailed Clinton by 14 points. Edwards has narrowed Clinton’s lead over him though. Back in March Edwards trailed Clinton by 31 points; now her lead is down to 19 points.<snip>

The actual poll BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/18491981/site/newsweek /

1. Do you lean more toward Clinton, the Democrat; or Giuliani, the Republican?

Total Clinton.... Total Giuliani.... Undec./Other
49%....................46%...............5%

Republicans
9%.....................89%...............2%

Democrats
85%....................12%................3%

Independents
40%.....................53%...............7%

2. Do you lean more toward Obama, the Democrat; or Giuliani, the Republican?

Total Obama........Total Giuliani..........Undec./Other
50%...................43%...................7%

Republicans
13%..................83%....................4%

Democrats
81%...................12%..................7%

Independents
43%...................48%..................9%


<snip>SURVEY METHODOLOGY Results are based on telephone interviews with 1,001 adults, 18 and older, conducted May 2-3, 2007. Results are weighted so that the sample demographics match Census Current Population Survey parameters for gender, age, education, race, region, and population density. The overall margin of sampling error is plus or minus 4 percentage points for results based on 1,001 adults and 831 registered voters. Results based on smaller subgroups are subject to larger margins of sampling error. The margin of error is plus/minus 7 percentage points for results based on 422 registered Democrats and Dem. leaners and plus/minus 8 percentage points for results based on 324 registered Republicans and Rep. leaners. In addition to sampling error, the practical difficulties of conducting surveys can also introduce error or bias to poll results.