Reply #4: In Bolivia itself, probably not much

[Warpy]

Bolivia has a great history of revolution as an integral part of its normal political process, and it hasn't been that unusual to have three different governments within two weeks.

However, the effect ouside Bolivia will be astounding. Just the fact that an Indio has been elected to the highest office has stunned the European ruling classes throughout South America. It's shown them it can be done, and will be done at some point. You can bet they are horrified. That he is also sounding very much like both Lula and Chavez (not to mention Castro) has sent an additional shock wave through the whole continent.

Expect to see him overthrown before he manages to get much done, especially since he has stated his intention to fight the DEA every step of the way and forbid them access to airspace in their coca eradication efforts. Every fat cat in South America will be willing to risk everything to oust him.

But it won't work. His election is giving too many campesinos hope. It can't be taken back. Eventually they know they will prevail.

That is the importance of his election.