Reply #1: What is the worst case scenario and what's the probability?

[Old and In the Way]

I don't know, but the broadcast media has seemed to moved on. Yet, I really don't understand whether the problem is getting worse, stabilized, or getting better. I doubt it's getting better, but I don't see any kind of metric that is tracking the catastrophe in a way that we can understand the rate of change in the danger or the area affected.