It's like saying, "The asteroid that is going to strike us later this year has been on a path toward the Earth for the last thousand years." There's no prediction involved, just a careful backtracking of the trajectory and a knowledge of the laws governing it.
The evidence that we have been on a failure path since at least the crash of 1873 is precisely the "tremendous increases in the standard of living and quality of life" you trumpet as evidence of victory. They are in fact the harbingers of our defeat. As with the hypothetical asteroid no prediction is necessary, just a plot of our trajectory to this point.
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