Reply #5: Here is some info which might indicate cell phone users lean Democrat:

[Zorra]

Cell phone only users tend to be younger, and younger people are far more likely to vote for Kerry than Bu$h.

Tuesday, October 12, 2004
Pittsburgh Post-Gazette

Nationally, about 6 percent of wireless phone users go without traditional land-line service, according to the Yankee Group, a communications research firm from Boston. The percentage approaches 12 percent among all people under 35 and rises to 14 percent among 18- to 24-year-olds. Cell numbers aren't listed in phone directories, and even if they were, pollsters are not allowed to call them.

http://www.post-gazette.com/pg/04286/394384.stm

Poll: College students moving toward Kerry
CNN
Thursday, October 21, 2004

More often than not, the side they choose is Kerry's. About 52 percent of students say they would vote for Kerry today, compared with 39 percent for Bush. (Chart: Voter Preferences)

While 87 percent of college students say they are registered to vote today, King says that number can't be trusted.

"It's self-reported. But it's also true that the levels appear to be much higher."

http://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/10/21/college.poll/

Cell phones making voters harder to reach
October 13, 2004

Legal restrictions are preventing political pollsters from reaching millions of Americans this election cycle because they rely exclusively on cell phones, according to pollsters and other election observers.

The inability to reach such voters, mainly young people, is contributing to the growing perception that phone surveys are skewed and inaccurate and should become a thing of the past, they argue.

In-Stat.MDR, a wireless market-research firm based in Scottsdale, Ariz., conducted a survey of wireless users in February of this year. Of the 970 people questioned, 14.4 percent were cell-phone-only users, the majority of whom were single Americans between the ages of 18 and 24, living in mostly urban areas.

http://www.thehill.com/news/101304/phones.aspx

Fear of Military Draft a Growing Factor
October 21, 2004

WASHINGTON - While President George W Bush and his fellow Republicans vehemently reject any suggestion that a draft, which was eliminated by former President Richard Nixon during the last years of the Vietnam War in the 1970s, is on the way, indications that it may have to be renewed are growing and, with Democratic challenger Senator John Kerry's help, forcing their way into the campaign.

The issue is clearly having an impact on younger voters between 18 and 29, who would naturally be the most vulnerable to any new draft. That demographic group, which was already the most pro-Kerry in the general voting population before the latest rumours and reports, is also considered the most unpredictable.

http://www.commondreams.org/headlines04/1021-21.htm