Reply #29: Last Week It Was . . .

[ProfessorGAC]

. . .bewteen 53 and 54%. Their margin of error is 5% relative, or +/- about 2.7% at 95% confidence interval. I think the sample size was 1800 or so. That's pretty standard for them. A little smaller than Pew, but bigger than Gallup usually uses. (I think the former is usually up around 2500 - 3000, and the latter 1000 - 1200.) I'm not sure who commissions their political polls at ORC. (Dems, Repubs, or someone in news media. Not sure.)

All these numbers are from memory, however. I don't have that disk with me right now. It's at home by my other laptop. Sorry

I think you'll remember this group. They were the ones who did the follow-up to the Florida election count. Same company. Different division. I don't know anybody there. I know people who work at most other polling orgs. Lewis, Gallup, Pew. (I know several people at Pew, all around the country.)

This is what i do for a living, so i have access to lots of databases that aren't in the public domain. I don't download results. I download raw data. I need subscriber status for that.

Not that i don't trust the people who draw the conclusions and compile results, it's just... No, i don't trust the people who compile and conclude.
The Professor