Democratic Underground - Compas/National Post poll (Cdn): Libs 39%, Cons 27%, NDP 20%

Compas/National Post poll (Cdn): Libs 39%, Cons 27%, NDP 20% [View All]

Minstrel Boy

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Mon May-03-04 11:30 AM
Original message

Compas/National Post poll (Cdn): Libs 39%, Cons 27%, NDP 20%

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Edited on Mon May-03-04 11:36 AM by Minstrel Boy

Polled over the weekend:

Liberals 39%
Conservatives 27%
NDP 20%
BQ 12%
other 3%

The .pdf here, with regional breakdown:

http://www.compas.ca/data/040503-FedVote-EP.pdf

Highlight: BC is a three-way tie with Libs 33%, NDP 32% and Cons 31%.

Liberal support was dented by the sponsorship scandal, but it hasn't collapsed. A 39% vote could easily mean a majority government. The Conservatives haven't been able to capitalize upon it.

Compared to the 2000 election, the Libs are down about 1%, the BQ up about 1%, the now united right vote down about 11%, and the NDP up about 11%.

NDP support is traditionally very productive. That is, because the distribution of its votes is more densely concentrated into regional pockets than dispersed across the country, it needn't exceed the Conservatives in popular support to elect more members.

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Compas/National Post poll (Cdn): Libs 39%, Cons 27%, NDP 20% [View All]