Reply #3: Last Scenario not so Optimistic

[jsheriff]

Did you actually read the article? They describe three possible scenarios. Number three includes:

'In the worst case, instability in Iraq would suck in its neighbors and cause a regional upheaval which the report said would be "beyond U.S. or multinational control." '

The speculation includes the disintegration of Saudi Arabia, the direct intervention of Turkish troops to put down a break-off Kurdish state, and the spread of active Sunni-Shia confrontation to Iran and Syria.

If that's optimistic, I shudder to think what your pessimistic scenario includes.