Reply #89: logic fail fail

[thesquanderer]

Your analysis of my statement implies that I think that no tragedies are averted, but that is not a logical conclusion from what I said.

I assume that, indeed, many tragedies are likely averted through timely intervention, through "earlier" events that fortunately do not lead to "later" events, because, as you say, they were averted.

And then there are the cases of tragedies where no prior trouble had been reported.

But it does seem like, in a decent percentage of these kinds of tragedies, prior incidents *had* been reported... which implies that is it likely that, to some extent, there was insufficient followup. That's my point.

(Your counter-argument that there are other cases where followup was likely sufficient and we just don't know is really not relevant to that point, a point which seems true regardless, and to which yours is essentially a non-sequitor.)