Michael Crowley
Sunday January 6, 2008
The Observer
For several years now, American politics has been in upheaval: terrorism, war, scandal, the meltdown of the Bush administration. But the results of Thursday's Iowa caucuses were the clearest sign yet that something transformative is happening - old orders are being cast away, new faces are surging forward. Iowa suggests that American voters are in a mood to place bets and take risks.
This is terrible news for the major party establishments. That was evident on Thursday night, on a chartered jet from Iowa to New Hampshire in the wee hours after the caucuses. On board was the press corps that follows Hillary Clinton, as well as her aides who worked their way down the aisle furiously spinning the night's disastrous results. With strained faces, the likes of longtime Clinton pollster Mark Penn and former Democratic party chairman Terry McAuliffe talked themselves hoarse over the engines, arguing that Hillary could survive a third-place Iowa finish some people consider a political death sentence....
...America is becoming a fundamentally Democratic country. That may surprise observers startled by the long reign of the Bush administration. But the notion that the Bush era showed the US to be a 'conservative' nation is wrong. And the 2008 election will prove it...
Polls show that Americans have grown suspicious of free trade, support raising taxes on the rich and back government intervention to increase health care coverage. Thanks to the debacle in Iraq, Democrats have even closed a generation-long Republican advantage on the question of who can best handle national security, once one of the Democrats' most debilitating weaknesses.
None of this guarantees that Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton or John Edwards will win back the White House. Another 9/11-style event may rescue the Republicans. But the Iowa results suggest that voters are in a revolutionary mood, that they feel their political system has drifted out of tune with their true beliefs. After eight painful and confusing years, those beliefs will likely reaffirm themselves next year in the form of a Democratic President.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/uselections08/comment/story/0,,2236160,00.html