Live Analysis: New Hampshire Primary Returns
Robert G. Kaiser
Washington Post Associate Editor
Tuesday, January 8, 2008; 8:00 PM
Washington Post associate editor Robert G. Kaiser was online Tuesday, Jan. 8 at 8 p.m. ET to break down the returns from the New Hampshire primaries as they're announced and examine what they mean for the candidates in the 2008 presidential primaries.
The transcript follows.
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Robert G. Kaiser: Good evening. The early questions in my queue reflect the excitement of this fascinating moment in American history. You can feel it too in the newsroom at The Washington Post. We don't know exactly what is happening, but we know something big is in the air. I look forward to spending the next couple of hours with your questions and comments. Please send them in!
The full exit poll shows a very close race on the Democratic side -- a one-point Obama lead. I have had so many bad experiences with exit polls in my four decades in this business that I am not going to invest heavily in this number. What it tells us is, we are going to have an interesting evening!The exit polls will also allow us to tell you some interesting things about the demographics of tonight's votes. For example, we already see evidence on the Republican side of how the immigration issue is very powerful, and helps Mitt Romney. There are a lot of these tidbits in the poll.
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http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/discussion/2008/01/07/DI2008010702131.html?nav=hcmoduleI found this live blog that was initiated at 8PM on Tuesday 1-8-08. The interesting thing is that he reports the unadjusted exit-polls for the NH primary. He later mentions that the polls will be adjusted based on actual results. He also mentions this little interesting tidbit that I thought was interesting:
Seattle: Are the exit polls breaking down the support for Obama/Hillary? Are younger voters turning out like they did in Iowa? Are women still backing Obama over Hillary?
Robert G. Kaiser: One of the problems with exit polls is that the proportions of voters they show from various demographic categories are never accurate. Through the evening the exit poll numbers will be adjusted to reflect the evidence provided by the hard returns.
That said, the exit poll shows that 11 percent of the voters polled were in the 18-24 age group. They favored Obama by 65 percent to 19 percent against Clinton.
I don't know this guy so don't shoot me if he's some RW nut-job. Read the live blog - it's fun reading how the questions evolve as the results start coming in - very interesting!