The naysayers have been very prolific myth promoters.
But we keep knocking them out with the facts.
Now they are left with rBr, the Mother of All Feeble Liepothesis Myths, which is being thoroughly debunked by USCV and informed DUers.
Here's a timeline of threads which refute the myths.
Myth:
The Final National Exit Poll (13660 respondents) said Bush won.
Of course it did. Mitofsky matched the final 613 respondents to the corrupt recorded votes. The first 13047 respondents said they voted for Kerry. As did the first 11027 and the first 8349.
Final National Exit Poll
2:05pm Nov 3, 13660 Respondents
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/US/P/00/epolls.0.html12:22am Nov 3, 13047
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=2651217:38pm Nov 2, 11027
http://www.exitpollz.org/CNN_national2.htm 3:59pm Nov 2, 8349
http://www.exitpollz.org/mitof4zone/US2004G_3737_PRES04_NONE_H_Data.pdf........................................
Myth: Bush won.
If he did, then you must disregard these facts...
Edited on Fri May-13-05 10:21 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x368702Myth: rBr is a valid hypothesis
But PROBABILITY ANALYSIS showed that it is VIRTUALLY IMPOSSIBLE.
Edited on Sat May-14-05 01:34 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x368977Myth: Bush voters forgot who they voted for in 2004
Freeper Logic: aBr, the Alzheimer Bush Responder Hypothesis
Edited on Fri May-13-05 10:38 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x368831Myth: Bush voters were reluctant
But even if 15% of Gore voters stayed home and All Bush voters came to the polls, Kerry still won.
Edited on Thu May-12-05 08:24 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x368350Myth: There is no hard evidence of fraud
The probability that 86 of 88 touch screens would switch Kerry votes to Bush is 1 in 79 SEXTILLION:
1 IN 79,000,000,000,000,000,000,000
Edited on Thu May-12-05 10:43 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x368585And here is the evidence:
ELECTION INCIDENT REPORTING SYSTEM (EIRS)
https://voteprotect.org/index.php?display=EIRMapNation&tab=ALLMyth: There was an invisible campaign to get out the vote
So WHERE DID BUSH FIND THE 13 MILLION VOTES?
Edited on Tue May-10-05 09:00 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x367638BYE, BYE rBr: IMPLAUSIBLE VOTER TURNOUT SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
Edited on Tue May-10-05 02:40 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x367600Myth: There was fraud, but not enough to change the election outcome
Let's compare Our Evidence vs. Their Evidence
Edited on Sat May-07-05 01:22 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=366974Myth: Bush voters were reluctant exit poll responders.
But Mitofskys data shows that they werent shy at all.
The Reluctant Gore Responder (RGR)
Edited on Mon May-02-05 01:50 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x365133Myth: Bush won the Electoral Vote
The State Exit Polls Gender Demographic shows Kerry had 329 EV.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x364645Myth: Bush won Ohio
He did? How so? Kerry won every demographic.
HOW KERRY WON OHIO BY 51-48%.
Edited on Fri Apr-29-05 10:37 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x364450Myth: The Final National Exit Poll matched the vote.
It sure did. It matched the final corrupted vote.
ALL YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT THE NEP TIMELINE
Edited on Thu Apr-28-05 07:25 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x363938Myth: The national and state exit polls are not conclusive.
But they are in agreement.
THE 13047 NATIONAL EXIT POLL CONFIRMS THE STATE EXIT POLLS TO WITHIN .06%
Edited on Sun Apr-24-05 11:44 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x362208Myth: The early exit polls were unweighted.
Well, lets weight them and see what we get.
STATE / NATIONAL EXIT POLL ANALYSIS BY REGION
Edited on Sun Apr-24-05 03:10 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x362106Myth: Exit Polls have a wide MoE due to the cluster effect.
No, according to this Mitofsky polling error table:
The MoE is 1.0% once you get to 8000 respondents.
Edited on Fri Apr-15-05 05:15 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=357345Myth: Bush is a popular war president.
He is? Then why is he struggling with 43% approval?
Bush Exit Poll Job Approval: A smoking gun?
Edited on Tue Apr-19-05 02:07 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=359320Myth: The media would cover election fraud - if there was evidence.
But they have already it. And they won't release t.
U.S. General Election Poll-7:37pm: "Estimates NOT for on-air use"
Edited on Tue Apr-19-05 12:31 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=359287Myth: Bush won Florida
Sure, Jebby controls the Optiscans.
FL Optiscans vs. Touchscreens: Prob of 9% discrepancy (1 in 12.7 trillion)
Edited on Mon Apr-18-05 02:42 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x358495Myth: Exit poll sample-sizes were too low.
No, sir. Calculate the sample-size for any MoE and confidence level.
Edited on Thu Apr-14-05 09:53 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x356832Myth: there was a late-voter Bush bandwagon effect.
But Kerry won the late, undecided voters.
Edited on Fri Apr-08-05 09:49 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x354407Myth: Bush 2000 voters were motivated.
To come out in the numbers they did, they must have been very motivated to rise from their graves or materialize out of thin air.
RELUCTANT BUSH RESPONDER OR REINCARNATED BUSH RESPONDER?
Edited on Mon Apr-04-05 03:22 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x352359Myth: Voter Party ID changed from 39% Dem/35% Rep to 37%/37%
Another Exit Poll Mystery: Party ID. Can you solve it?
Edited on Sat Apr-02-05 02:52 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x352065Myth: The Final Exit Poll weightings use best available data
I can't stop talking about this one. It's a joke. Even if 100% of Bush 2000 voters WHO WERE STILL ALIVE TO VOTE IN 2004 voted, they could not comprise more than 40% of the 2004 electorate.
THE IMPOSSIBLE 43% Bush / 37% Gore MIX...
Edited on Wed Mar-30-05 11:13 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x350713Myth: Bush won by 3 million votes.
THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO: KERRY WON BY 7 MILLION VOTES
Edited on Sat Mar-26-05 06:16 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x349275Myth: Only Mitofsky knows how to weight the data
Well, here you will learn
HOW TO RED-SHIFT THE NATIONAL EXIT POLL IN 6 EASY STEPS...
Edited on Thu Mar-24-05 11:44 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=348456#Myth: Bush voters are immortal
BASED ON THE U.S. ANNUAL DEATH RATE OF 8.7 PER 1000..
Edited on Mon Mar-21-05 09:30 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x347144Myth: Exit Poll discrepancies cannot be explained
The Unexplained Exit Poll Discrepancy: Explained
Edited on Tue Mar-15-05 01:23 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=344005Myth: Exit Polls have always been inaccurate
GRAPHS: 1988-2004 Prelim. Nat. Exit Poll to Vote - Trend reversal in 2004
Edited on Thu Mar-10-05 11:11 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x341940Myth: All polls are worthless.
Tell that to all the pollsters who get paid the big bucks.
PRE-ELECTION STATE POLLS vs. EXIT POLLS vs. ACTUALS
Edited on Sat Feb-19-05 12:02 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=330449Myth: Bush won.
THE MOST DEVASTATING STATISTIC: 17% OF THE VOTERS WERE NEW
Edited on Fri Feb-11-05 01:05 AM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=323939Myth: The The conservative trend won it for Bush.
Ok, lets look at some scenarios of Bush probabilities for various Party-ID weights in the National Exit Poll
Edited on Sun Jan-16-05 04:29 PM
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=287175