|
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend Bookmark this thread |
This topic is archived. |
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) |
usregimechange (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 09:24 AM Original message |
Indiana County-level Projections based on Demographic Characteristics |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
phrigndumass (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 09:28 AM Response to Original message |
1. This is an excellent analysis. Thanks for posting it! |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
usregimechange (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 09:34 AM Response to Reply #1 |
2. Your welcome! I have started on NC but I want to look at Oregon too |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
usregimechange (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 05:36 PM Response to Original message |
3. Posting maps not used in the OP but that still may be of interest... |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
usregimechange (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 06:00 PM Response to Reply #3 |
4. population Lake co |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
grantcart (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 06:08 PM Response to Original message |
5. You should charge per view to help your fund raising lol |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
usregimechange (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 06:23 PM Response to Reply #5 |
7. The Philly districts appear to be weighted a bit more than others, advantage Obama |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
grantcart (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 06:50 PM Response to Reply #7 |
16. This is typical of all the states. Now here is the irony. The way that the system is |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
usregimechange (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 06:31 PM Response to Reply #5 |
8. Lets say Obama wins district 2 in Philly by 74%, he would get 7 delegates to Hillary's 2. and... |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
grantcart (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 06:51 PM Response to Reply #8 |
17. I just made the same point up thread lol |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
usregimechange (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 06:36 PM Response to Reply #5 |
10. Of course the Pledged Delegates At-Large should even things up a bit for the state winner |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
grantcart (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 06:53 PM Response to Reply #10 |
19. so can you put it altogether and make a projection on pledged delegates? |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
usregimechange (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 07:01 PM Response to Reply #19 |
24. Christ, now that would take a lot of work! And their are so many variables that I can't divine |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
grantcart (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 08:13 PM Response to Reply #24 |
33. Do you have a list of the districts and how many delegates each have? |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
usregimechange (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 08:31 PM Response to Reply #33 |
34. Here is the list, will look at doing this... |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
grantcart (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 08:38 PM Response to Reply #34 |
36. great how did you find it? |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
usregimechange (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 08:56 PM Response to Reply #36 |
38. surfing... |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
grantcart (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 08:43 PM Response to Reply #34 |
37. I just PM'd this guy - he seems to be an expert on PA maybe he can help |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
JimGinPA (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Mar-24-08 01:22 AM Response to Reply #37 |
42. Someone Did A Breakdown By District A Couple Of Weeks Ago... |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
grantcart (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Mar-24-08 01:39 AM Response to Reply #42 |
43. that is an excellent find thank you |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
JimGinPA (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Mar-24-08 01:49 AM Response to Reply #43 |
44. The Only Thing Is - We Won't Know The Number Of New Voters For At Least A Few Days... |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
usregimechange (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Mar-24-08 07:55 PM Response to Reply #42 |
46. Thanks for posting... |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
BumRushDaShow (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 06:12 PM Response to Original message |
6. Another good analysis! K&R |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
rug (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 06:36 PM Response to Original message |
9. Are you saying Clinton should win Indiana as well but Obama has a chance? |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
usregimechange (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 06:41 PM Response to Reply #9 |
12. She should because the demographics favor her but Obama can if he can draw off of her voters |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
usregimechange (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 06:43 PM Response to Reply #12 |
13. IN has less Blacks than the national average, is less educated, demos favor her |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
grantcart (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 06:55 PM Response to Reply #13 |
20. There is another factor that no one is tracking: |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
usregimechange (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 07:09 PM Response to Reply #20 |
27. Excellent point, and they would be correct imo |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
rug (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 06:47 PM Response to Reply #12 |
14. Thanks for the clarification. Good stuff. |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
malik flavors (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 06:40 PM Response to Original message |
11. What's your gut feeling on how Indiana will turnout percentagewise? |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
usregimechange (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 06:52 PM Response to Reply #11 |
18. Even though the demos favor Clinton, this is near Obama's home state and guys... |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
SoCalDem (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 08:37 PM Response to Reply #18 |
35. And having lived in NW Indiana for 7+ years, I can tell you that that area IS Chicago East |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
DemocratSinceBirth (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 06:49 PM Response to Original message |
15. Great Work |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
usregimechange (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 06:58 PM Response to Reply #15 |
22. You are right and that is a major weakness in this. Not that polling doesn't have its weaknesses.. |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
DemocratSinceBirth (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 07:01 PM Response to Reply #22 |
23. I'm Making A Subjective Observation Not An Empirical One |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
usregimechange (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 07:05 PM Response to Reply #23 |
25. Yeah, it would be sad but this, like polling, only gives us an indication... |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
DemocratSinceBirth (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 07:08 PM Response to Reply #25 |
26. What Do You Think These Demographic Trends Portend For The General |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
usregimechange (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 07:12 PM Response to Reply #26 |
28. We will lose some and gain others but Bush and co may assist us the most in keeping many of them on |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
DemocratSinceBirth (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 07:18 PM Original message |
Hillary Has Working Class Whites, Latinos, Females, And Older People |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
usregimechange (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 07:15 PM Response to Reply #26 |
29. And we would lose some and gain others with either candidate... |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
DemocratSinceBirth (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 07:21 PM Response to Reply #29 |
31. Hillary Has Working Class Whites, Latinos, Females, And Older People |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
crispini (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 06:55 PM Response to Original message |
21. Nice work! |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
mopinko (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 07:18 PM Response to Original message |
30. don't forget factor I |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
blue neen (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 08:12 PM Response to Original message |
32. I was checking out your PA anaylsis. |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
Zynx (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 09:01 PM Response to Original message |
39. That ring of "old people" counties is kind of interesting. |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
SoCalDem (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 09:02 PM Response to Reply #39 |
40. Little farm communites.... the last of the family farms |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
usregimechange (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-23-08 10:28 PM Response to Reply #39 |
41. Yep, Indiana is like an age doughnut! |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
Tatiana (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Mar-24-08 02:41 AM Response to Original message |
45. K&R - I would also watch the counties that border IL like Vermilion |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) | Mon Jun 17th 2024, 12:38 AM Response to Original message |
Advertisements [?] |
Top |
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) |
Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators
Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.
Home | Discussion Forums | Journals | Store | Donate
About DU | Contact Us | Privacy Policy
Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.
© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC