Marist Poll: Obama 4 points behind Clinton in New York City

[Adelante]

New York City:

Clinton 43%
Obama 39%
Edwards 7%


Clinton has a larger lead in the State overall:

Clinton 48%
Obama 32%
Edwards 9%
Kucinich 3%

Who’s supporting whom? The New York State Democratic Primary is most competitive in New York City where about half of the state’s Democratic voters reside. Clinton receives support from 43% of likely Democratic voters in New York City compared with 39% for Obama. Clinton outdistances Obama upstate 59% to 22%, and she has an 18 percentage point lead in the suburbs which surround New York City. Barack Obama leads among African Americans likely to vote on primary day. African American voters historically comprise between one-fifth and one-quarter of the state’s Democratic primary vote. He is very competitive among younger Democrats. He receives 47% among likely Democrats who are under 45 years of age compared with 43% for Clinton. Among Democrats likely to vote who are 45 years of age or older, Clinton leads Obama 50% to 27%.

-snip

Nature of the Sample: 1,467 New York State Registered Voters
This survey of 1,467 New York State registered voters was conducted January 15th through January 17th, 2008. Registered voters were interviewed by telephone in proportion to the voter registration in each county in New York State and adjusted for turnout in statewide elections. The margin of error is ±3%. There are 679 registered Democrats including 426 Democrats likely to vote in the February 5th primary. The results for these sub-samples are statistically significant at ±4% and ±5%, respectively.

http://www.maristpoll.marist.edu/nyspolls/NY080121.htm

[ccpup]

1. I posted clearer details

for those interested in more thorough, less biased look at what the Poll actually says.

Obama still has a long ways to go and I doubt he'll make up that ground before February 5th.

[Adelante]

3. Biased?

I beg your pardon. I posted Clinton's statewide numbers, as well as NYC numbers.

[ccpup]

4. your headline was misleading and showed your bias

as the number you trumpeted was from one group of voters polled. Statewide she's still kicking his butt.

[Adelante]

5. My headline was about Obama

Where did I say he was close statewide? I didn't.

[cali]

10. one group of voters??

What's the population of NYC again? This is a big deal and you know it. Why not just admit it? And there was not one damned thing that was misleading about the OP headline. The OP has every right to stress that part of the poll and he posted the entire poll and noted that Hillary was way up over Obama in the rest of the state. Your complaint is completely without foundation and petty to boot.

[geek tragedy]

2. Anything over 30% is gravy for Obama.

If he can hold Clinton under 50%, that's huge.

[suston96]

6. As suggested, folks, go to the link and look at ALL the stats....

...for one - the latinos: 57 Clinton, 30 Obama.

Another: Upstate: 59% Clinton, 22% Obama.

Facts really hurt sometimes, eh?

[Adelante]

7. Thread title: Marist Poll: Obama 4 points behind Clinton in New York *City*

Did you even read the OP? :eyes:

[jenmito]

8. And? The OP was exactly right. And Hillary is EXPECTED to win the state where she's a Senator...

don't ya think?

[bartholomewjohn]

9. A Siena poll conducted the same date has Clinton up 25% in NY State

http://www.siena.edu/level2col.aspx?menu_id=562&id=14355