While I see it does breakdowns by blue/red/purple, I wonder what the MOE was on that subgroup.
But if state polls are more important why not cite the ones we have directly.
Here are all the National head to head polls taken within the last 3 weeks. Hillary as the frontrunner has more matchups with the frontrunner for the GOP Rudy.
Poll Date Sample Giuliani (R)Clinton (D) Und Spread
RCP Average 10/17 - 11/04 - 44.1 48.5 5.1 Clinton +4.4
CNN 11/02 - 11/04 929 RV 45 51 4 Clinton +6.0
USA Today/Gallup 11/02 - 11/04 938 RV 45 51 1 Clinton +6.0
Newsweek 10/31 - 11/01 1002 RV 45 49 6 Clinton +4.0
ABC/Wash Post 10/29 - 11/01 1131 A 46 50 1 Clinton +4.0
Marist 10/29 - 11/01 1102 A 40 50 10 Clinton +10.0
Quinnipiac 10/23 - 10/29 1636 RV 45 43 6 Giuliani +2.0
Rasmussen 10/22 - 10/23 800 LV 46 44 10 Giuliani +2.0
Democracy Corps (D) 10/21 - 10/23 994 LV 45 49 3 Clinton +4.0
Pew Research 10/17 - 10/23 1607 RV 43 51 6 Clinton +8.0
LA Times/Bloomberg 10/19 - 10/22 512 RV 41 47 4 Clinton +6.0
Poll Date Sample Giuliani (R)Obama (D) Und Spread
RCP Average 10/19 - 11/01 - 43.0 44.3 9.8 Obama +1.3
Newsweek 10/31 - 11/01 1002 RV 45 48 7 Obama +3.0
Rasmussen 10/29 - 10/30 800 LV 45 43 12 Giuliani +2.0
Quinnipiac 10/23 - 10/29 1636 RV 42 43 8 Obama +1.0
LA Times/Bloomberg 10/19 - 10/22 522 RV 40 43 12 Obama +3.0
Then there is the matter of protecting our NE flank from Rudy.
According to the Q poll Hillary is in a dead heat with Rudy in NJ while Rudy crushed Obama & Edwards.
I think any Dem can win NY but Hillary is the strongest there beating him soundly while Obama and Edwards are in dead heats with him. The same thing with PA.
Clinton outperforms Obama vs Rudy in FL (Hillary & Rudy have seesawed in the lead within the MOE) and is about the same as Edwards in FL.
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x271.xmlSurvey USA shows that while Hillary destroys Rudy in MA, Obama has him by about 6. She also destroys Rudy in CA while Obama is again up by 5 or so.
Unfortunately the only head to head polling of some Southern/Midwestern states is from early Oct.
But Hillary outperforms Obama vs. Rudy in FL, OK, VA, NM, & AL. Obama outperforms her in MO & KS. Though is some of those matchups both are losing handily.
http://www.surveyusa.com/electionpolls.aspx