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OK, look at it this way...Lets assume Rove outed Plame to Cooper BEFORE Novak wrote his column. Rove figured he'd get away with it and that he could stop any investigation into the outing if it ever happened (remember, he was on top of the world then). He also knows nobody has ever done time for a leak, just doesn't happen. So he figures, fuck it, I'll just do her in. After the leak, there's a big outrage, you know, people upset for good old patriotic reasons. Rove's still OK. He gets called to the Grand Jury and questioned by the FBI. He holds to his story, I revealed nothing, thinking all the time, Cooper won't give it up (which he didn't) and Time-Warner is in our hip pocket, they won't screw with me! Then the big oops, a special counsel, Fitzgerald is appointed who loves to indict politicians and hates to lose. Now Rove needs a story, what to say. Well, one thing might be, Novak told me and he told me before the story was written, I just passed it along to Cooper. Complicated enough yet? It gets worse. Now Bush is down in the polls, people think he's nuts, big people. Fitzgerald still wants to get the biggest scalp he can get so he's pushing on Cooper for the notes. He gets them. Rove is hoping Cooper will do the obligatory reporter 90 days or so and refuse. Cooper is ready to do that but guess what, Time Magazine says we can't give up fines, that hurts our share holders (total bull shit, btw, since the amounts would be nothing for them). Then Time gives the notes up. Reporter Cooper is still obliged to testify, which he won't but it doesn't matter.
Now, here is the legal problem for Rove. He leaked Plames name; he did it before that was public knowledge; and he lied about leaking the name. Indicting him on the act that protects CIA agents or the 'treason' charge are high hills to climb legally. There are all sorts of requirements like Rove had to know she was a special agent, etc. However, lying to the FBI and lying to a grand jury is a big crime when the lying has to do with national security (as opposed to sex, e.g., Clinton). Now Rove is having some serious problems. He tried to avoid the act that protects the identity of CIA and other security agents, which is really not the issue now. He did lie, he knows it, Fitzgerald knows it, and we now know it. He's screwed.
The side show is Novak. He's a reporter, yet he gave up information to prosecutor Fitzgerald. Unlike Cooper and Miller (NYT) he never opted for jail to protect a source. He just rolled over. But he thinks he's cool and won't face any charges. If he is trying to protect Rove by saying he gave Rove information before Cooper talked to Rove then he's possibly lying. He also has to come up with a source of the leak independent of Rove. We can assume he didn't give up Rove as the source (which is probably the truth). Fitzgerald may have information to indict Novak too.
Should be fun, buy your popcorn early before the rush.
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