My personal thought. I do not agree with this site I am posting. It explains a few things. I'm sure that would be self evident to most here.
Overview
A damaging game of attrition characterizes negotiations to resolve Haiti's political stalemate.
Aristide regime prefers dealing with the international community rather than its domestic opponents, but this sustains mistrust within Haiti. Civil society negotiating efforts are a significant new factor.
The democratic political alternative to Aristide's Lavalas has gained ground in overcoming its credibility deficit but still lacks broad governance focus and distinctive leadership.
International community is fatigued and fearful of Haiti going off the rails and therefore eager to reach a deal.
Bush administration does not have its predecessor's personal ties with Aristide and prefers arms-length relationship. Yet, a distinctive policy stance and leadership has yet to emerge while the Haitian crisis deepens.
Recent OAS-Caricom mission to Haiti and ensuing General Assembly meeting in Costa Rica endorsed revised Aristide offer to break political stalemate. Negative and swift response from broad spectrum of Haiti's democratic opposition and civil society ensued.
Operational reality of OAS-Caricom deal faces immediate logistical, financial, and political hurdles. Real intent by Haitian regime is to trigger renewal of foreign aid flows.
Unity of international community following Costa Rica is uncertain.
Ninety-day outlook is grim.
http://www.csis.org/americas/pubs/h010619.htmOverview