Democratic Primaries
In reply to the discussion: "Either you think the Black vote factors into the equation and are therefore willing to wait..." [View all]Scurrilous
(38,687 posts)"The answer in the case of Iowa is that it matters a lot. Despite its demographic non-representativeness, and the quirks of the caucuses process, the amount of media coverage the state gets makes it far more valuable a prize than youd assume from the fact that it only accounts for 41 of the Democrats 3,979 pledged delegates.
More specifically, we estimate based on testing how much the results in various states have historically changed the candidates position in national polls that Iowa was the second most-important date on the calendar this year, trailing only Super Tuesday. It was worth the equivalent of almost 800 delegates, about 20 times its actual number."
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/iowa-might-have-screwed-up-the-whole-nomination-process/
That's right. Despite 'demographic non-representativeness' Iowa 'worth the equivalent of almost 800 delegates.'
Let's hear it for Iowa voters with their magnified influence and media coverage thereof. Remember this ass every time someone posts a poll from 538. Because he also alters his numbers there to reflect the greatness of Iowa...or as he calls it national trends.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden