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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

George II

(67,782 posts)
14. He's cratering in the polls. For example, RCP averages in Iowa:
Tue Jan 21, 2020, 05:03 PM
Jan 2020

Jan 7

Sanders 22.0
Buttigieg 21.7
Biden 20.3
Warren 15.3

Jan 21

Sanders 17.3 -4.7
Buttigieg 16.3 -5.4
Biden 21.0 +0.7
Warren 16.7 +1.4

He's lost more than five points to the current front runner in just two weeks, less than two weeks before the caucus.

538 has similar numbers.

In New Hampshire

RCP

Jan 7

Sanders 22.7
Buttigieg 17.7
Biden 18.7
Warren 14.7

Jan 21

Sanders 19.8 -2.9
Buttigieg 14.3 -3.4
Biden 18.5 -0.2
Warren 14.3 -0.4

He's lost 2.7 points to Biden in just two weeks, three weeks before the primary.

Again, 538 has similar numbers.

As for the "small donor" fundraising, that's a misnomer. They're "small donation" fundraising. Many of his "small donations" have come from big donors, but they're encouraged to give small and give often - inflating the # of donations and deflating the average of donations.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
Nobody? lsewpershad Jan 2020 #1
She was talking about his colleagues. The complete thought: George II Jan 2020 #3
BREAKING: Woman who has absorbed decades of unhinged misogynist vitriol does not like one guy billpolonsky Jan 2020 #13
Talking about senators. delisen Jan 2020 #11
None of us are as good at pretending to be nescient as we'd like to think. LanternWaste Jan 2020 #12
truth is often painful. BannonsLiver Jan 2020 #2
And yet is one of the top three candidates Voltaire2 Jan 2020 #5
The Wall Street Crowd. jalan48 Jan 2020 #6
Guess who just won the pony!!!! DaDeacon Jan 2020 #8
I think she was talking about senators as they served in Senate together. delisen Jan 2020 #10
He's cratering in the polls. For example, RCP averages in Iowa: George II Jan 2020 #14
RCP national polls have Sanders steadily increasing since December, and Biden slowly decreasing Voltaire2 Jan 2020 #19
Caucuses and primaries are conducted by state.... George II Jan 2020 #23
Oh boy Mike 03 Jan 2020 #4
The grumpy old man persona isn't appealing to some. Rorey Jan 2020 #7
We already have a angry old white male New Yorker whistler162 Jan 2020 #15
Hillary Hatred from Hell Southern Blueneck Jan 2020 #9
Thanks for the link. David__77 Jan 2020 #20
So she won't commit to backing him if he is the nominee? Voltaire2 Jan 2020 #16
Shameful statement. Nanjeanne Jan 2020 #17
It's sort of glorious. David__77 Jan 2020 #21
She means none of the centrist DLC loving democrats, with lots of money GumboYaYa Jan 2020 #18
The more one gets to know Bernie, the less one likes him NCProgressive Jan 2020 #22
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