Democratic Primaries

MineralMan

(146,395 posts)

41. Sorry. Picketty is a French Economist.

Mon Jun 3, 2019, 12:41 PM

Jun 2019

I question the validity of his data on an upcoming US Presidential election.

It's a reach for him to make such predictions, I think.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Hard data shows a centrist Dem candidate would lose in 2020 [View all] Fiendish Thingy Jun 2019 OP

Thomas Frank did too. K&R BeckyDem Jun 2019 #1

This election is the Democratic Party's to lose... billpolonsky Jun 2019 #2

The home of HA Goodman says what? Salon has no credibility. comradebillyboy Jun 2019 #3

You're lumping Thomas Piketty with H.A. Goodman? Fiendish Thingy Jun 2019 #5

Pardon me for having an opinion that differs from yours. comradebillyboy Jun 2019 #6

Lots of academics write lots of papers. DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2019 #18

Sorry. Picketty is a French Economist. MineralMan Jun 2019 #41

Have you read his paper? progressoid Jun 2019 #56

No, I have not, nor will I. MineralMan Jun 2019 #61

Piketty didn't write the Salon article. N/T lapucelle Jun 2019 #72

The Salon article is about, and links to Piketty's study Fiendish Thingy Jun 2019 #82

The article is simply a Salon writer's spin on a scholar's work. lapucelle Jun 2019 #83

I agree as to the reliable of Salon Gothmog Jun 2019 #90

Don't know about the data, but I do agree with KPN Jun 2019 #4

With Warren's record of real achievement and Hortensis Jun 2019 #16

Already have the centrist vote. Prosper Jun 2019 #7

The frightening aspect of Trump, and there are many, is how his appeal BeckyDem Jun 2019 #8

The 1% think once the takers & eaters are all gone - CrispyQ Jun 2019 #36

As a fellow taker and eater, that is likely what they believe! BeckyDem Jun 2019 #60

The powers that be are pulling out all the stops to ensure we do not see how well a liberal brewens Jun 2019 #58

+1 Go Vols Jun 2019 #67

One of these graphics represents the 2016 Democratic nominee, lapucelle Jun 2019 #73

If this analysis is correct then why is Biden leading in all the head-to-head polls against Trump? honest.abe Jun 2019 #9

Mondale was ahead of Reagan at this point in the cycle, IIRC nt Fiendish Thingy Jun 2019 #10

Mondale was never ahead. TwilightZone Jun 2019 #11

At this stage of the cycle Mondale was ahead 49-43 over Reagan crazytown Jun 2019 #32

And Glenn had a much larger lead than Mondale. Drunken Irishman Jun 2019 #39

Yes, just xprrecting a statement of fact. crazytown Jun 2019 #66

Yes - so, at this point there is no reason to believe Biden can't win. Drunken Irishman Jun 2019 #86

If his analysis is correct then why doesn't the effect show up now in the polls? honest.abe Jun 2019 #12

YRI NT SouthernProgressive Jun 2019 #26

He can't predict the outcome of every election, but marylandblue Jun 2019 #24

Do you have a land line? If you do, do you have caller ID? If you do, do you pick it up.. aidbo Jun 2019 #42

Well, its possible the polls are wrong but I doubt it. honest.abe Jun 2019 #50

Who is being polled? Prosper Jun 2019 #88

Salon gleefully fueled the "Hillary is worse than Trump" garbage. LongtimeAZDem Jun 2019 #13

Trump tax cut Prosper Jun 2019 #89

Oh...it's Salon BannonsLiver Jun 2019 #14

Yup! Thekaspervote Jun 2019 #62

The GOP nominated an unelectable unqualified nonreligious dumbass IronLionZion Jun 2019 #15

so much BS JI7 Jun 2019 #17

FDR, HST, JFK, LBJ, JEC, WJC, BHO DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2019 #19

FDR? LBJ? Fiendish Thingy Jun 2019 #25

yep. nt BootinUp Jun 2019 #84

No Hard Data Vidal Jun 2019 #20

Don't trust the Salon narrative. Here is the actual article by Picketty to form your own opinion. honest.abe Jun 2019 #21

But will Biden make redistributionist economics a central part of message and policy? marylandblue Jun 2019 #29

I am sure Joe will include some level of redistributionist economics into his message. honest.abe Jun 2019 #37

the low income types voted for trump over social issues JI7 Jun 2019 #80

Hard Data equals LibFarmer Jun 2019 #22

"VBNMW" PDittie Jun 2019 #23

Am I the only one who hasn't a clue what "VBNMW" means? YOHABLO Jun 2019 #54

Vote Blue No Matter Who Demit Jun 2019 #71

Harris is a centrist now?? that's rich AlexSFCA Jun 2019 #27

hard data... LuvLoogie Jun 2019 #28

Typical Salon bullshit. I remember what Salon did to Hilllary, distorting and still_one Jun 2019 #30

So long as it is HARD DATA and just an opinion lapfog_1 Jun 2019 #31

My take is that this country is culturally conservative, but The Mouth Jun 2019 #33

"the Democratic establishment" ? crazytown Jun 2019 #34

lol fail ! stonecutter357 Jun 2019 #35

When Republicans attack Biden, they won't be calling him a centrist. He is a liberal. Always has emmaverybo Jun 2019 #38

always? Go Vols Jun 2019 #74

I don't think Republicans have changed their mind. He will still be a "libtard" to them, and emmaverybo Jun 2019 #87

What hard data? MineralMan Jun 2019 #40

So by extension then the issue of impeachment must be Blue_Tires Jun 2019 #43

Kicked and recommended Uncle Joe Jun 2019 #44

Hard data. LOL. Downtown Hound Jun 2019 #45

Lots of evidence backed research and analysis Fiendish Thingy Jun 2019 #46

Sounds really impressive. Downtown Hound Jun 2019 #47

I'm not too confident you're aware of the meaning of the words... LanternWaste Jun 2019 #53

Clearly you're not familiar with the work of Thomas Piketty Fiendish Thingy Jun 2019 #64

Yes. He's nothing that impressive. Loki Liesmith Jun 2019 #68

Clearly your not familiar with the difference between analysis and an editorial on that analysis LanternWaste Jun 2019 #93

Can you cite the page(s) where the evidence for his claim is/are DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2019 #48

I second that motion... Peacetrain Jun 2019 #49

I'm genuinely curious DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2019 #51

Is this Thomas Piketty the french economist? Peacetrain Jun 2019 #52

He said it is based on a study of French, American, and British political history. DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2019 #55

Then a good chance that is who it is... Peacetrain Jun 2019 #57

I'm not wed to any candidate. I just want to defeat Trump DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2019 #59

I read that in the body of the op.. and disagree with the premise if it refers to the United States Peacetrain Jun 2019 #63

People vote for cultural reasons as much as economic ones. DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2019 #69

The Hard Data is the 2016 election ProfessorPlum Jun 2019 #65

Huge difference in terms of the negative numbers redstateblues Jun 2019 #70

I am the last person to speak ill of Secretary Clinton but she didn't lose because of her ideology. DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2019 #76

A professor believes one election is dispositive of every election? DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2019 #75

Russian attack on Hillary while they propped up the incompetent JI7 Jun 2019 #79

This message was self-deleted by its author wasupaloopa Jun 2019 #77

K&R Kurt V. Jun 2019 #78

Thanks for posting, plenty to work on & consider. Piketty, a professor appalachiablue Jun 2019 #81

Blue wall...election will be one or lost in those states. Demsrule86 Jun 2019 #85

Why Are Economists Giving Piketty the Cold Shoulder? Gothmog Jun 2019 #91

Sigh. You can usually cherrypick an academic to cherrypick allegedly "hard" data to "prove" highplainsdem Jun 2019 #92

Thankfully, this 'hard data' sourced from 2013 was ignored during the mid-term win. LanternWaste Jun 2019 #94

Hard data makes its sound like the author of the paper reduced it to a mathematical certainty. DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2019 #95