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CoffeeCat

(24,411 posts)
22. According to the last Iowa Poll Sanders was down by 9
Wed Jan 6, 2016, 01:17 PM
Jan 2016

...and that was a month ago.

Since that time, he has gained momentum.

At the very least, it's a nine-point game. That poll was taken before the DNC antics, and Hillary did not win that round in Iowa. Bernie did.

Your statement, "Hillary is crushing Sanders in Iowa--is a statement that is not rooted in reality.

Furthermore, her political events are not well attended in Iowa. Clinton is getting crowds of 300. Bernie is getting crowds of 2000+. That speaks directly about the enthusiasm he has generated. And you need that enthusiasm and excitement to motivate people to the caucuses. Her campaign seems to be falling flat.

The next Iowa Poll doesn't come out for a couple of weeks, but that poll is the gold standard of polling in Iowa. Nate Silver ranks this poll an A+ for its accuracy and science-based methodology. So many of the polls that I've seen on Iowa are complete bunk. They do not poll Iowa Independents. Independents are the largest voting block in Iowa--41 percent of the population and many of them will caucus for Bernie. Some of those polls exclude EVERYONE under the age of 26, because they only call people who have caucused before. Those polls have lazy methodology and are crap.

Bernie is running out of steam? [View all] Omaha Steve Jan 2016 OP
He's just getting warmed up. Certain people will be shocked on Feb. 1. nt thereismore Jan 2016 #1
Agree! I think his support is deeper than anyone suspects. mountain grammy Jan 2016 #8
No, he has been out there and he had not measured up lewebley3 Jan 2016 #12
Someone should stand right next to you with a defibrillator Waiting for Someone Jan 2016 #13
Welcome to the DU Omaha Steve Jan 2016 #14
Hillary is crushing Sanders in Iowa: and a head in NewHamp by 3 lewebley3 Jan 2016 #15
not likely when you consider those are land line numbers. Someone said on a blog roguevalley Jan 2016 #16
Hillary has 20 points ahead: and Senator Harkin is working hard lewebley3 Jan 2016 #20
According to the last Iowa Poll Sanders was down by 9 CoffeeCat Jan 2016 #22
CBS has Bernie down by only 5 in Iowa Art_from_Ark Jan 2016 #23
wow. thanks for this. We are within margin error and add in O'Malley's numbers and we Hiraeth Jan 2016 #24
And it's important to remember that O'Malley will most likely... CoffeeCat Jan 2016 #25
He's just getting started! ViseGrip Jan 2016 #2
Bernie and his much reviled supporters(.org?) reddread Jan 2016 #3
+1 Paka Jan 2016 #18
HUGE K & R !!! - THANK YOU !!! WillyT Jan 2016 #4
Bernie better hope his fundraising success shows up in the polls NobodyHere Jan 2016 #5
bwahahahahaha! if you say so. :D:D:D:D roguevalley Jan 2016 #17
No Friggin Way Duckfan Jan 2016 #6
He peaked last summer, remember? SheilaT Jan 2016 #7
That BS is so hilarious! SoapBox Jan 2016 #9
I like that madokie Jan 2016 #19
Thank you, Omaha Steve! Yay, Bernie! Enthusiast Jan 2016 #10
Heh. Looks like he added a whole bunch of logs to the fire. nc4bo Jan 2016 #11
Hillary's fans have been declaring Bernie's campaign stalled for months. Scuba Jan 2016 #21
Thank you OS for your tireless efforts and encouragement!! 7wo7rees Jan 2016 #26
Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»Bernie is running out of ...»Reply #22