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2016 Postmortem

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grantcart

(53,061 posts)
Sat Aug 4, 2012, 11:15 AM Aug 2012

Two masterful strategic moves by a brilliant political operation. [View all]

The President has now boxed in Romney and the Republicans in a masterful way that will be studied for years in the future.

Every since Mondale went down to a crushing defeat to Ronald Reagan it has been the fundamental rule that if you advocate for increased taxes during a campaign you will go down the same way that Mondale did, and so no one has. Number One Rule for Presidential candidates? Never talk about raising anyone's taxes.

Strategic Move One, send the Republicans that worship at the Defense Budget altar and those that worship at the Cut Tax Altar at each other's throats.

The President undermined the basic Republican mantra by providing tax relief for the poor and middle class by initiating a temporary reduction in payroll taxes. Then when the Republicans were caught over playing their hand on the debt ceiling 'crises' the President pulled back and let Bohner squirm facing a US default right in the face. He had a way out. Come to a short term agreement and establish a budget trigger that would force massive social spending and military cuts if a long term deficit agreement could not be reached.

Bohner took the short term fix, claimed he got 99% of what he wanted and now has a ticking time bomb on his lap. The Republicans worship at two altars, unlimited funding for defense and cutting taxes, especially for the rich. Now with the Bush Tax Cuts expiring the Republicans are faced with two dilemmas; 1) refuse to compromise on taxes to the rich and cause everyone's taxes to go up, and 2) refuse to come to a comprehensive budget agreement (which will include increased taxes on the rich) and see the defense budget cut by 30%.

The result of this is that the two largest competing factions of the Republican Party, the Tax Cut addicts and the Military Budget addicts will go to war against each other, Ryan vs McCain. In the end both sides will be weakened and the President will be able to forge a budget that has a significantly reduced defense budget (but reduced in a rational way) and have taxes increased on the rich.

Not only has he turned the tables on the "never talk about a tax increase" rule, he has taken it out and hits the Republicans with it every day of the campaign.

Which brings us to the second brilliant strategic move by the President.

Strategic Move Two, Make a Presidential Candidate engage in a day to day scrimmage with a non Presidential candidate.

Number two rule for Presidential candidates; don't get dragged down in fights with people who aren't presidential in stature, it brings you down, down, down.


The Republicans have put forth a candidate who not only hasn't been vetted but who refuses to be vetted, and who pays a very small percentage on taxes on an extremely large income.

So while the President is hitting the Republicans and Romney every single day with the strategic move outlined above they have added another layer.

Senator Reid (who conveniently holds the same Religion as Romney) calls Romney out, basically calling him a liar on his taxes. Romney cannot not respond, and does.

So now Romney's time is going to be consumed by a day by day school yard fight with Reid. Romney says this and Reid says that.

The problem for Romney is that for whatever Reid's good points are he is not perceived as being a very macho alpha dog, he is not Presidential. So Romney is wasting his time having to answer charges and get into a fight with a politician that simply doesn't seem that strong.


The pundits will pundit, the comedians will roast, fellow Republican politicians will, not wanting to get dragged down with you, start to criticize and tell Romney to end this fight and release his taxes. Romney who has never had much affection with the rest of the Republican Party will be increasingly seen as the guy who is not only going to lose to the President but is going to drag the party down, down, down and so there will be more distancing and more criticism,


But Romney won't end it by releasing his taxes it will continue on and on and Romney, who cannot use surrogates on the issue, will end up in a bear hug fight with the pussycat Reid while the President remains Presidential.

So often we rest on principle and let the other side out strategies us and for once we are seeing a Democratic politician use principle to use the Republicans last remaining card, cutting taxes, to out flank Romney.

It is a beautiful thing to watch.

64 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Fascinating explanation Marymarg Aug 2012 #1
I think you hit it on the head: cilla4progress Aug 2012 #5
Strategic Move Two GoCubsGo Aug 2012 #2
called 'chicago style politics'. if you thought that was a bad thing, mopinko Aug 2012 #3
Excellent analysis, thank you! n/t pnwmom Aug 2012 #4
By Jove I think your on to something.... Historic NY Aug 2012 #6
Plus - POTUS has now turned Romney into the guy that wants to raise taxes on the middle class to pay Pirate Smile Aug 2012 #7
To be fair, Rmoney built that himself. Schema Thing Aug 2012 #10
True Pirate Smile Aug 2012 #17
We need more voters to understand that lowering taxes for the rich LiberalFighter Aug 2012 #13
The President has pulled off a hat trick. sofa king Aug 2012 #8
excellent- you should make this an OP Tumbulu Aug 2012 #49
And he's even managed to execute Americans with impunity! midnight armadillo Aug 2012 #60
Very well said... cheezmaka Aug 2012 #61
Team Obama started running for reelection day one. vinny9698 Aug 2012 #9
I hope your theory is right. Denninmi Aug 2012 #11
I might have bought the Rove trap, were it only Reid saying his source had high credibility. But coalition_unwilling Aug 2012 #27
Wonder if it's John Huntsman? dballance Aug 2012 #34
I don't know how Huntsman would be in a position to know, though. But I agree that coalition_unwilling Aug 2012 #40
The better strategy would have been to hold off on the income tax return strategy until Oct. jerseyjack Aug 2012 #12
That is just nonsense. speedoo Aug 2012 #14
Yeah, but there is definitely 'some thing($)' in there that's not going to go well for willaRd... Amonester Aug 2012 #15
Mitt has consistently refused to release his tax returns. JDPriestly Aug 2012 #16
I wonder all of the time how many of the people who work in the IRS have seen his taxes? left on green only Aug 2012 #52
Also, there is no upside to Reid of saying something untrue about this. JDPriestly Aug 2012 #58
Interesting is your thinking that Romney would drop out over this.... left on green only Aug 2012 #59
Several including his Accountant cheezmaka Aug 2012 #62
Someone suggested that he "under-tithed" to the Mormons. mwb970 Aug 2012 #57
Romney has a long history of refusing to release tax returns magical thyme Aug 2012 #20
Nah, I disagree. The time to brand your opponent - in this case, as a shifty-eyed crook - is coalition_unwilling Aug 2012 #28
I agree. Get the branding done and repeat it over and over again so it is really, really CTyankee Aug 2012 #31
It's working: saw a sign "Romney for Cayman Islands President" dougolat Aug 2012 #51
Besides the other points brought up is that end of the campaign ad space in swing areas is basically grantcart Aug 2012 #33
If he does release them, it will be FAR more damaging. NYC Liberal Aug 2012 #41
October Surprise Herlong Aug 2012 #18
He knows what's in his tax returns magical thyme Aug 2012 #21
DING DING DING! Grantcart, you're our grand prize winner! rocktivity Aug 2012 #19
plus Reid is a fellow Mormon. nt magical thyme Aug 2012 #22
icing meet cake grantcart Aug 2012 #35
I have a hunch re using Reid as the messenger.... pkdu Aug 2012 #46
As for Church doctrine, dougolat Aug 2012 #53
+1 bemildred Aug 2012 #23
Thinking of an October Surprise Herlong Aug 2012 #24
Great post! Why the devotion to military spending? 1. image 2. money underpants Aug 2012 #25
"Why the devotion?" In non-combat positions at the Pentagon, it's BRIBERY that runs the revolving patrice Aug 2012 #32
Absolutely dougolat Aug 2012 #54
the republicans rejected jon huntsman madrchsod Aug 2012 #26
Huckabee might also have given Obama a serious run for his money. He has coalition_unwilling Aug 2012 #29
Why do you think one of the first things Obama did as President rocktivity Aug 2012 #36
Meanwhile, more & more people are thinking, "FOREIGN accounts? WTF??? W - H - Y????" patrice Aug 2012 #30
Brilliant OP lillypaddle Aug 2012 #37
Thank you grantcart Aug 2012 #38
If move one works out intersectionality Aug 2012 #39
Insightful analysis... ThisThreadIsSatire Aug 2012 #42
Reince has called Harry Reid a Dirty Liar bucolic_frolic Aug 2012 #43
The president gives them just enough rope maindawg Aug 2012 #44
Speaking of Rope, the Limbaugh 9000 is almost worn out. grantcart Aug 2012 #45
very well put... nradisic Aug 2012 #47
Brilliant is our Prez.! Kteachums Aug 2012 #48
Amen to that! Paka Aug 2012 #55
Amen! cheezmaka Aug 2012 #63
Great analysis. K&R. cliffordu Aug 2012 #50
Romney's lucky the Olympics are still going on. mwb970 Aug 2012 #56
Round 2 Rosa Luxemburg Aug 2012 #64
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