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2016 Postmortem

alcibiades_mystery

(36,437 posts)

24. New York turnout still down something like 17%

Reply to LukeFL (Reply #21)

Thu Nov 29, 2012, 10:12 PM

Nov 2012

That's way out of the range of the national average. Even if we think NY would have voted at a much lower rate than 2008 (say, down 7%), it would still have given Obama perhaps another 200,000 vote margin, and that's assuming that the places that didn't vote were slightly more favorable to Romney than NY in general (say 57% Obama rather than 62.5%).

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Highlight:

Turnout in Swing States Exceeds 2008 (!!) [View all] alcibiades_mystery Nov 2012 OP

CNN says it is still tied. hrmjustin Nov 2012 #1

... BlueCaliDem Nov 2012 #6

Gallup says Romney is still up by 7 points in the national tracking poll of likely voters. yellowcanine Nov 2012 #13

Are they using the Ryan math again? LiberalFighter Nov 2012 #19

Obama may have made good arguments about the direction the country ought to be heading iemitsu Nov 2012 #2

Great post oswaldactedalone Nov 2012 #3

Thanks, I've sat on too many hiring committees iemitsu Nov 2012 #4

Awesome post! LukeFL Nov 2012 #20

Thanks. iemitsu Nov 2012 #23

Recommend! Remember the worry warts, for they babylonsister Nov 2012 #5

Great post! BlueCaliDem Nov 2012 #7

Looks like he'll be over 65 million this week davidpdx Nov 2012 #8

Unpopular president? union_maid Nov 2012 #9

You need to make sure you do arithmetic right. OhioworkingDem Nov 2012 #10

Done, thanks alcibiades_mystery Nov 2012 #11

CO...Smoking otohara Nov 2012 #12

Good news .. ProudProgressiveNow Nov 2012 #14

They must be counting the Ohio provisionals now alcibiades_mystery Nov 2012 #15

What is it in terms of % of eligible voters? DireStrike Nov 2012 #16

I don't have enough info to calculate for the swing states alcibiades_mystery Nov 2012 #17

Thank you for the info. DireStrike Nov 2012 #18

Also Sandy has a lot LukeFL Nov 2012 #21

Yes, that makes sense. JNelson6563 Nov 2012 #22

New York turnout still down something like 17% alcibiades_mystery Nov 2012 #24

Good!! I read some actually Cha Nov 2012 #25