2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: Evidently needs reposting: Hillary is NOT winning the popular vote. That's not how primaries work. [View all]Corporate666
(587 posts)I could randomly dial a phone number and it would be Kate Upton, and I could talk her into going on a date with me where I would win her heart and get married to her on Friday?
It's possible.
Is it probable? No. Likely? No. Remotely possible? No.
Is it an unlikelihood that is so hugely improbable that it's virtually indistinguishable from an impossibility? Yes. And does it make any sense whatsoever to speak about it as if it's a viable proposition? No. Does it make sense to hope for it, plan for it, expect it? No. Should I remove my profile from the dating site and keep this week open just in case? No.
Bernie winning is no different. It's so hugely improbable as to be a statistical and realistic impossibility. When some of the folks on this forum object to people saying it's over, they are engaging in a middle ground fallacy. For those that don't know, it's claiming somewhere between to opposing positions lies the truth. Religious kooks use it all the time... "you can't prove the Noah's ark story is untrue, so my belief in it is at least as reasonable as your skepticism".
Except it's a logical fallacy and the middle ground is not the correct position. Just like it's a logical fallacy that Bernie might win and it's premature to speak otherwise.