Larry Sabato's electoral map: Obama needs just 3 more EV to win it [View all]

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I choose Larry Sabato because, despite the ridiculous "he-works-for-Fox-therefore-he-sucks' claims, he's the most historically accurate predictor of election outcomes in the nation...(better than Nate, better than Charlie Cook,. better than everyone out there) and he does not simply give you the Presidential estimate. he takes the chance of predicting EVERYTHING, House, Senate, President...and he's been just shy of 100% accuracy in the past.

That said, his map has Obama with 267 EV, with Wisconsin, VA, NH and Colorado as toss-ups. The latest Marquette poll (Obama +1) made Sabato move WI to tossup.

Bottom line is that this map looks very good for Obama, as he will definitely win at least one of these 4 states, IMO.



http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/