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2016 Postmortem
Showing Original Post only (View all)Nate Silver: G.O.P. Senate Hopes Fade [View all]
As Nate Silver says, the Democrats went from being likely to lose the Senate only a few months ago, to having an 83.6% chance of winning it in the latest Senate update.
Races that were tough (eg. MA) and races that seemed lost (eg. WI) only months ago, are now leaning Dem.
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Here are some of the the current projections:
MA (Elizabeth Warren) Chance of winning : 79%
MO (Claire McCaskill) Chance of winning: 79%
VA (Tim Kaine) Chance of winning: 77%
CT: (Chris Murphy) Chance of winning: 72%
WI: (Tammy Baldwin) Chance of winning: 82%
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More examples at the link:
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/13/g-o-p-senate-hopes-fade-even-as-romneys-rise-polls-show/
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Let's hope Nate's wrong about Crmona like he was wrong about Angle back in 2010
catbyte
Oct 2012
#47
VA- Allen has little money but he is going to flood the airwaves the last 3 weeks
underpants
Oct 2012
#27