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2016 Postmortem

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grantcart

(53,061 posts)
Sat Feb 11, 2012, 02:49 AM Feb 2012

More misery for Romney poll shows 3rd in Georgia, Paul might take Maine, Santorum leads MI [View all]


Man the damn is breaking on poor old Mitt;



Tomorrow Paul might win Maine. In 2008 Romney had 52% of the vote.

http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/289771/could-paul-win-maine-brian-bolduc



New poll shows Gingrich first, Santorum second and Romney a distant third in Georgia. He is only polling 16% in Georgia where he had 30% in 2008



http://savannahnow.com/latest-news/2012-02-10/poll-gingrich-santorum-lead-georgia#.TzWI4I45tNW

Gingrich leads in Georgia

ATLANTA - Former Georgia congressman Newt Gingrich is leading among primary voters in the state he represented for two decades, and ex-Sen. Rick Santorum is second in a poll released Friday.

Gingrich gets the nod from 35 percent while Santorum surged into second with 26 percent in the wake of his three primary wins this week in Missouri, Minnesota and Colorado.

Mitt Romney has 16 percent, putting him in third place a head of Ron Paul’s 5 percent. Another 18 percent were undecided when surveyed by phone Thursday evening.





And as posted in a separate thread.


In 2008 Romney took Michigan with 51% of the vote in a crowded early field of 7 candidates. It is the state he was born and raised in. His dad was a popular governor there. It fits Romney demographics as well as any remaining state.

I can't see how Romney continues if he gets trounced in Michigan. It would be a titatantic reversal of political fortune. Because it is one of his 'home' states its symbolic value is huge. A loss there would be a mortal blow to his candidacy.


PPP just tweeted that Santorum is ahead on their first night of polling.

PPP has been the most accurate pollster this year.

Here is their tweet

https://twitter.com/#%21/ppppolls/status/168143372454866944



Santorum topping Romney on the first night of our Michigan poll. This may be the biggest surge yet



Edited to add

If Ron Paul wins Maine tomorrow then Romney's campaign will be in a full fledged panic



http://www.thedailybeast.com/cheats/2012/02/10/ron-paul-has-shot-in-maine.html


Ron Paul Could Win Maine

Maine has been caucusing all week (who knew, right?) the results of which will be announced Saturday night. The turnout for Maine's caucuses are typically very low, making the results unpredictable and giving Ron Paul a real chance at his first primary win this year. Paul has been campaigning ferociously in Vacationland this week and plans to stay until the results are called. Mitt Romney, on the other hand, will arrive in Portland on Friday night for his first campaign in the state this year—though he did win the Maine caucuses in 2008.





It would be one of the greatest campaign collapses of all time.

Couldn't happen to a more deserving guy.
30 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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For any other "inevitable frontrunner" this would be hugely embarrassing. But Mitt seemingly..... Tarheel_Dem Feb 2012 #1
It's good news for America! yortsed snacilbuper Feb 2012 #2
rachel explained that Paul probably leads in delegates because they are chosen after the caucuses roguevalley Feb 2012 #3
remember when Obama went to Idaho? grantcart Feb 2012 #5
Well you know what they say davidpdx Feb 2012 #12
This is the first I have heard that Ron Paul might win Maine. Ruby the Liberal Feb 2012 #4
As a Mainiac in the rural 2nd district...it doesn't surprise me one bit. Old and In the Way Feb 2012 #8
What time can we expect actual results? Ruby the Liberal Feb 2012 #10
The Revenge of Semus Politicalboi Feb 2012 #6
Plenty of evidence that Romney has psychological problems Ian62 Feb 2012 #22
Run the misogynist angle as well Ian62 Feb 2012 #25
Romney has an implacable enemy. David Letterman. dimbear Feb 2012 #7
There's been a lot of serious money invested in Mitt's campaign. Old and In the Way Feb 2012 #9
Think Bain want to be the Halliburton of a Romney regime nm Ian62 Feb 2012 #23
Not only that grantcart Feb 2012 #26
The story about Seamus thucythucy Feb 2012 #14
found it grantcart Feb 2012 #27
The dogs are starting to organize grantcart Feb 2012 #16
HaHa - that's the sort of stuph that shud be used. Ian62 Feb 2012 #24
Its a movement grantcart Feb 2012 #28
LSMINSMP nm Ian62 Feb 2012 #30
Its a movement grantcart Feb 2012 #29
GOP elite thought so too :) nm Ian62 Feb 2012 #17
Even if Paul wins Maine that doesnt really help Santorum in Michigan. DCBob Feb 2012 #11
Spend a bit of cash Ian62 Feb 2012 #21
Every tire on the clown car is going in a different direction izquierdista Feb 2012 #13
I don't get it Johnny2X2X Feb 2012 #15
He didn't ignore it grantcart Feb 2012 #18
There is no way that GOP don't go to a brokered convention now Ian62 Feb 2012 #19
Cash Ian62 Feb 2012 #20
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