2016 Postmortem

Kalidurga

(14,177 posts)

51. Bernie wins

Sun Jan 31, 2016, 11:49 PM

Jan 2016

But, by a lot less than your prediction. I am thinking 49/45/and I have no clue what O'Malley supporters will do. If they think they are being played by Hillary people they might come over to Bernie's side. If they want him to get to the 15% point in at least some places they might accept the help of Hillary people. I would tell them to f' themselves myself, but that means nothing in the real world.

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What's your prediction for Iowa? [View all] Nightjock Jan 2016 OP

Turn out of 200k hoosierlib Jan 2016 #1

+1 daleanime Jan 2016 #2

Congrats on 200 posts! bigwillq Jan 2016 #32

Close to that Old Codger Jan 2016 #3

Clinton will win by at least 5% points over Sanders in Iowa. nt ProudToBeLiberal Jan 2016 #4

Lots of reasons from Berniebros why IA doesn't matter. nt LexVegas Jan 2016 #5

Percent of what? Caucusers or delegates to the state convention? HereSince1628 Jan 2016 #6

Clinton by 7 points... DCBob Jan 2016 #7

Clinton by 5 over Sanders BigGLiberal Jan 2016 #8

Bernie by 6%. Something like 52-46-2. reformist2 Jan 2016 #9

Bernie 52 Clinton 48 basselope Jan 2016 #10

Welcome to DU. HRC peeps have an app to redistribute their people to her benefit. JudyM Jan 2016 #17

TY... basselope Jan 2016 #23

Well, re-welcome, then! I'd say Bernie 51 if it weren't for HRCs plan of manipulating the caucus #s JudyM Jan 2016 #24

I fear it is possible... basselope Jan 2016 #35

Well we should know in a little over 24 hours. We can hope for the best. JudyM Jan 2016 #36

Hello bigwillq Jan 2016 #34

He's going to get 15% in some precincts. I'd guess he wins a couple of small ones out right. askew Jan 2016 #42

I'll go alcibiades_mystery Jan 2016 #11

Bernie = Enormous lead, landslide...n/t monmouth4 Jan 2016 #12

I agree with yours. nt Live and Learn Jan 2016 #13

HRC speaktruthtopower Jan 2016 #14

I agree with you re: Bush. Maybe Rubio too. It's going to be a squeaker on the dem side, though. JudyM Jan 2016 #19

My prediction? AtomicKitten Jan 2016 #15

I am going conservative here Robbins Jan 2016 #16

I don't dare to guess. I'm not jynxin' this thang. Gregorian Jan 2016 #18

Clinton +3 Stuckinthebush Jan 2016 #20

For the record angrychair Jan 2016 #21

Bernie ypsfonos Jan 2016 #22

Mostly Cloudy The River Jan 2016 #25

I predict that will shorten any victory parties. HereSince1628 Jan 2016 #29

This message was self-deleted by its author postatomic Jan 2016 #43

I really don't have a clue. Erich Bloodaxe BSN Jan 2016 #26

I'm half stunned and half sickened by saltpoint Jan 2016 #27

+1 n/t Lucinda Feb 2016 #58

We won't know the percentages, just the delegate count Recursion Jan 2016 #28

Bernie by 2%. Nt marlakay Jan 2016 #30

Hillary and Bernie will collect about an equal number of delegates. yardwork Jan 2016 #31

I agree, +- 2. It's going to be a near even delegate split. morningfog Jan 2016 #50

Clinton 54%, Sanders 42% KingFlorez Jan 2016 #33

Based on crowds in past two days, sanders wins by 20 points = LANDSLIDE. Red-baiting begins KingCharlemagne Jan 2016 #48

Bernie by 12 Paulie Jan 2016 #37

Is that result actually possible? AJH032 Jan 2016 #38

It's 15% for each precinct. askew Jan 2016 #40

Got it, thanks! AJH032 Jan 2016 #41

My prediction: askew Jan 2016 #39

Message auto-removed Name removed Feb 2016 #62

Aw hell. I don't know. What do you think? Ferd Berfel Jan 2016 #44

Call me nuts, then go to bed. Flying Phoenix Jan 2016 #45

LOL - And I thought I was being optimistic! I like the cut of your KingCharlemagne Jan 2016 #49

ROFL I love it. nt Live and Learn Feb 2016 #56

I hope it's Bernie DemocraticWing Jan 2016 #46

Bernie will win if the turnout is high. winter is coming Jan 2016 #47

Bernie wins Kalidurga Jan 2016 #51

Sanders 45%; Clinton 42%; O'Malley 8% - Trump 26%; Cruz 22%; Rubio 16%; Carson 11%; Paul 5%; Bush 4% Attorney in Texas Jan 2016 #52

Message auto-removed Name removed Feb 2016 #61

With the weather question, I wouldn't hazard a guess. longship Feb 2016 #53

Clinton will win by 7 or 8 points. eom asuhornets Feb 2016 #54

Clinton by 4 1/2 points CajunBlazer Feb 2016 #55

Clinton 53 - Sanders 46 - O'Malley 1 brooklynite Feb 2016 #57

Sanders by 7-10 points kcjohn1 Feb 2016 #59

Message auto-removed Name removed Feb 2016 #60