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progree

(11,449 posts)
4. "Jan-Mar 2024: 7.24%" I think (??) I know what you did:
Sun May 12, 2024, 08:07 AM
May 2024

Last edited Sun May 12, 2024, 11:06 AM - Edit history (1)

For the 3 month period Dec'23 to Mar'24 (and using $10,000 for more accuracy to compare to CUSR0000SA0 )
https://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/cpicalc.pl?cost1=10000.00&year1=202312&year2=202403

Result: $10,182.11 which is a 1.8211% increase which DOESN'T MATCH THE BELOW and I don't know why not.

CPI (aka CUSR0000SA0 in this post):
https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CUSR0000SA0

Click on "MORE FORMATTING OPTIONS" and click the following checkboxes: "original data value", "3 month percent change", and "12 month percent change" checkboxes, and then click the Retrieve Data button.

On the 3 month one it shows 1.1% for March 2024

Using the original data values
The 3 months to March 2024 is 312.230/308.742 = 1.01130 = 1.130% = 1.1% rounded

Back to the inflation calculator:

from above: "Result: $10,182.11 which is a 1.8211% increase"

This annualizes to 7.2844% if one multiplies by 4 (which nearly matches the 7.24% in your OP), or more correctly: 1.018211^4 = 1.074858 -> 7.4858% ->7.49%.

Again I don't know why, for the non-annualized 3 month increase, that the inflation calculator (1.82%) doesn't match with CUSR0000SA0 (1.13% or 1.1%)

Note that for the 12 month increase of March '23 to March '24 I did have a match in all the numbers (the inflation calculator agreed with CUSR0000SA0 -- see my post#2 above)

Edited to add - by the way, the 3 month ANNUALIZED increase using the CUSR0000SA0 original data value numbers:

The 3 months to March 2024 is 312.230/308.742 = 1.01130 (as above). Annualizing: 1.01130^4 = 1.04597 -> 4.597% -> 4.60%

On the corresponding CORE CPI number, the 3 month annualized average is 4.53%.
CORE CPI: http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CUSR0000SA0L1E

Latest Discussions»Issue Forums»Economy»So... The past 3 months, ...»Reply #4