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Hillary Clinton

CalvinballPro

(1,019 posts)

10. A chance is just that: a chance. People beat "the odds" all the time.

Reply to riversedge (Original post)

Mon Mar 28, 2016, 12:37 PM

Mar 2016

WI is also an open primary, so I'm very suspicious of any polling coming out of that state currently. Especially after they dropped the ball so badly with MI.

Just saying. An 84% chance isn't a done deal or anything.

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March 28:538 Clinton has an 84% chance of winning the Wisconsin primary; Sanders 16% [View all] riversedge Mar 2016 OP

Fingers crossed here! BlueMTexpat Mar 2016 #1

Doubt it there will be as much crossover. Michigan was really strange that way. LisaM Mar 2016 #15

I totally agree with you about BlueMTexpat Mar 2016 #16

It's a tough call, though. Wisconsin has a lot of college students, and a lot of rural voters. LisaM Mar 2016 #19

After Silver's Michigan F-UP, he'll have to earn back my my confidence bluestateguy Mar 2016 #2

It wasn't Silver's fuckup DavidDvorkin Mar 2016 #3

If not caucus, she won't be competing with the bagger vote. Nt seabeyond Mar 2016 #4

absolutely drray23 Mar 2016 #7

That is too bad. I didn't realize that. You know, I am simply tired of the nasty. Nt seabeyond Mar 2016 #8

It is an open primary.. riversedge Mar 2016 #12

Probably but Wisconsin will be very close. book_worm Mar 2016 #5

I totally agree riversedge Mar 2016 #11

K&R. nt UtahLib Mar 2016 #6

I don't like it when the focus is just on whether a candidate wins a state. LiberalFighter Mar 2016 #9

A chance is just that: a chance. People beat "the odds" all the time. CalvinballPro Mar 2016 #10

that, and the only poll showing her ahead is landline only. geek tragedy Mar 2016 #14

I just don't see a Clinton win in the cards for WI. geek tragedy Mar 2016 #13

What's your prediction? jmowreader Mar 2016 #17

538 target is 56, Obama won 58 in 2008, so I'll compromise and say Sanders gets 57%. geek tragedy Mar 2016 #18

Thanks! Treant Mar 2016 #24

I don't see how this is possible, rivers.. It's an open primary like Minnesota so Cha Mar 2016 #20

Minnesota had caucuses LisaM Mar 2016 #21

Ah, thank you, LisaM. Is there another state Hillary won that is open and primrary.. Cha Mar 2016 #22

Yes, it looks as if both Illinois and Ohio do.... LisaM Mar 2016 #25

Thank you for your research! Cha Mar 2016 #30

I live in WI for 9 yrs KewlKat Mar 2016 #23

I would guess her best shot is Milwaukee and the Chicago suburbs LisaM Mar 2016 #26

Winning isn't enough for Bernie. He needs margins. Renew Deal Mar 2016 #27

I wouldn't put too much stock in that prediction. Both Nate and Harry expect Bernie to win Godhumor Mar 2016 #28

K&R. Go Hillary! lunamagica Mar 2016 #29