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LenaBaby61

(6,987 posts)

62. The polling sample...

Thu May 26, 2016, 02:49 PM

May 2016

IS also extremely small: 552, plus as you said there are 10% of the voters who are undecided, plus the poll has a Moe of 5.7% Not to say a smaller poll can't be accurate, but when you thrown in all of those things plus how the % of who were polled were polled.

Outlier poll just like the one in Oregon that said Hillary Clinton would beat Bernie Sanders in Oregon by 18 points.

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Poll: Clinton and Sanders in dead heat in California [View all] Omaha Steve May 2016 OP

Moving along, the truth rolls MrMickeysMom May 2016 #1

2nd cousin to the "Flying Fickle Finger of Fate"? n/t 24601 May 2016 #4

whatever, too late triron May 2016 #69

I see all you new posters like "LBN"... MrMickeysMom May 2016 #72

It sure isn't the 30% plus Sanders needs. still_one May 2016 #2

Patience... MrMickeysMom May 2016 #6

I live in California, and I was doing phone banking last weekend Those folks who have been still_one May 2016 #8

Yep! Many of those votes are already in the bank. LiberalFighter May 2016 #15

Let Me Guess...Another Clinton Group Member With Liberal In Their Name billhicks76 May 2016 #52

AUTOMATED MESSAGE: Results of your Jury Service Orrex May 2016 #60

Wow. Cant Even Point Out Something I Caught billhicks76 May 2016 #80

Alerting Orrex May 2016 #81

Have A Somber Memorial Day billhicks76 May 2016 #90

Count me in the unabashed, unapologetic, flaming, bleeding-heart group. libdem4life May 2016 #88

Thank You billhicks76 May 2016 #91

It isn't the win a frontrunner going to the convention needs either Omaha Steve May 2016 #24

Sure it is. Darb May 2016 #26

IF she can't get a convincing win in BLUE CA Omaha Steve May 2016 #28

Uhhhhh, is this a primary, or the election? Darb May 2016 #32

the ole Boogy Man will get me If i vote for hillary? Cryptoad May 2016 #38

Not the Boogy Man! ffr May 2016 #53

I believe the quote is inchhigh May 2016 #27

It is early Omaha Steve May 2016 #29

I've been on DU since 2004 but inchhigh May 2016 #40

Sanders could win by 40% and it wouldn't be enough. The nominee will be determined.... George II May 2016 #49

Do you see how nicely you've set up your belief system? Orrex May 2016 #59

How specifically has Clinton "cheated"? Do YOU see how nicely you've set up YOUR belief system? George II May 2016 #61

Oh please. Orrex May 2016 #63

Oh, I thought you were being serious. Of course she hasn't cheated.... George II May 2016 #64

Wait--we're on the same page?!? Orrex May 2016 #65

How are you calculating that? Samantha May 2016 #68

Are you new to this whole thing? GulfCoast66 May 2016 #73

Kind of -- I have only been a political junkie for 50 years now Samantha May 2016 #74

If white voters favor Clinton by 6 points, and Hispanics by 9, then why is she only ahead by 2? pnwmom May 2016 #3

When I did phone banking for Hillary last weekend, in that event, a most of the folks I spoke with still_one May 2016 #7

Since the vast majority of Californians are white or Hispanic, it seems odd pnwmom May 2016 #9

Survey USA a couple of days ago had Hillary 57, Sanders 39. A couple more polls would be nice to still_one May 2016 #13

It's sometimes hard to tell by last name who is Hispanic. cannabis_flower May 2016 #23

I agree. Also, it is purely anectodel, since the peple I was calling may not be a valid reflection still_one May 2016 #55

But I just don't get the math of this one. The gap between the candidates is pnwmom May 2016 #34

agree. a few more polls will give a tread. Much better. riversedge May 2016 #42

I've been a democrat for 14 years now. ThinkCritically May 2016 #83

This poll has a MOE of 5.7, about as big a MOE as I've ever seen in a poll. George II May 2016 #50

Interesting. I wonder what their turnout model was? (nt) Recursion May 2016 #5

As Eddie Izzard says. Bad Dog May 2016 #10

Except Sanders needs 100%, anything less is a loss for Sanders. Thinkingabout May 2016 #11

As Hillary is being hauled away in a paddy wagon, the super delegates will be scratching their heads Pauldg47 May 2016 #75

This will happen shortly after the FEC charges Sanders with campaign fund fraud, interesting Thinkingabout May 2016 #76

Ha....this would have been exposed big time monthes ago....I beg you to vote for the Bern!!!!! Pauldg47 May 2016 #77

It has been exposed, second letter listing donations which goes over the limit of $2700, guess some Thinkingabout May 2016 #78

It's all over the news. Pauldg47 May 2016 #82

Interesting that you care about that considering... ThinkCritically May 2016 #84

Yes, she has attended fund raisers for down ticket candidates, do you know how much Thinkingabout May 2016 #85

Call it, Skinner!!! Cooley Hurd May 2016 #12

If history is an indicator (with regard to polls in this election) Rafale May 2016 #14

The Hillary phone banks probably target voters who already have expressed a JDPriestly May 2016 #17

Thanks! Rafale May 2016 #18

I think it differs from county to county. JDPriestly May 2016 #20

Thank you for all the hard work you are doing Samantha May 2016 #87

Message auto-removed Name removed May 2016 #92

This message was self-deleted by its author Turbineguy May 2016 #16

There are relatively few Republicans in California. JDPriestly May 2016 #21

No wonder she zentrum May 2016 #19

maybe but not at previous debates. Mary Mac May 2016 #22

You trust Brit Hume? Chris Wallace is questionable as well. Anything on Faux is anti Democratic redstateblues May 2016 #30

Brit Hume is the WORST! Zen Democrat May 2016 #67

IOW Sanders loses... brooklynite May 2016 #25

Well, the argument can be made ... Fantastic Anarchist May 2016 #36

But he can't... brooklynite May 2016 #45

It doesn't matter.. mountain grammy May 2016 #31

The numbers make no sense whatsoever: CrowCityDem May 2016 #33

Thank you! I asked this question above, but no one else seems to see the problem. pnwmom May 2016 #35

I didn't read every line of it, but I didn't see anything about that, no. CrowCityDem May 2016 #39

Hah,,,, Cryptoad May 2016 #37

I thought she was eighteen points up only a few days ago. Gene Debs May 2016 #41

It could be the news of the recent State Department findings against her. forest444 May 2016 #43

We shall see what happens YankeeBravo May 2016 #44

I'll be right beside you chwaliszewski May 2016 #47

The Truth in black & White: Clinton=1705 Sanders=1414 (SNOPES) askeptic May 2016 #46

+1 chwaliszewski May 2016 #48

Yea like Oregon? One poll had Hillary up by 15 when all the others were Thekaspervote May 2016 #51

A win in California would make their work much more difficult. pa28 May 2016 #54

I wonder why people are ignoring the poll that came out the SAME day that shows.... George II May 2016 #56

You can believe Public Policy Institute of Cal or Washington Times askeptic May 2016 #57

I let a reputable organization like Project538 do the methodology assessment, and they find... George II May 2016 #58

The polling sample... LenaBaby61 May 2016 #62

Wha? Bernie was behind 18 points just last week! Zen Democrat May 2016 #66

Horrendous Optics for Hillary merkins May 2016 #70

We Donated to Sanders Again Yesterday McKim May 2016 #71

I live in So Cal. and see no enthusiasm for LibDemAlways May 2016 #79

This message was self-deleted by its author silvershadow May 2016 #86

Keeping it kicked Amorka May 2016 #89

Message auto-removed Name removed May 2016 #93

Message auto-removed Name removed May 2016 #94

Message auto-removed Name removed Jun 2016 #95

Kicking nt LiberalElite Jun 2016 #96

Message auto-removed Name removed Jun 2016 #97

Just joined in the middle of the night? LiberalElite Jun 2016 #98

Message auto-removed Name removed Jun 2016 #99

"Dead heat" Bubry Jun 2016 #100

After the AP told Bernie voters to stay home... Omaha Steve Jun 2016 #101

Dead heat? She us ahead by double digits.... apcalc Jun 2016 #102

The AP's call for Hillary Clinton ruined California's election party--and here’s why that matters Omaha Steve Jun 2016 #103

Or Hillary supporters stayed home because she already won-- That fake outrage works both ways snooper2 Jun 2016 #105

Looks like the cards fell differently Vogon_Glory Jun 2016 #104