General Discussion
Showing Original Post only (View all)Roy Moore will be elected Senator [View all]
Thats my prediction based on Trumps 59% approval rating there. http://www.al.com/news/index.ssf/2017/10/trumps_approval_rating_down_in.html
The allegations wont affect the majority of voters views there. Only 8% of Trump voters believe any of the allegations against him (Source: Ari Melber). The allegations against Moore will be dismissed as fake news and a Democratic conspiracy. There is NOTHING a Republican could do to convince white Alabamans to vote Dem, and they control the electoral system that enables the rest to vote, or not.
I do think Democratic electoral prospects are improving, but a full-scale change in the political culture of the Deep South is a bridge too far.
I hope Im wrong. I want Dems to do everything possible to win, but we should not overestimate the impact of these disclosures. Grab em by the pussy won the presidency. Womens lives arent seen as valuable enough to keep a man from political office.