General Discussion

exboyfil

(17,862 posts)

26. At the end of the day

Sat Nov 17, 2012, 01:32 PM

Nov 2012

recognize Nate Silver is a numbers guy. He is not a partisan hack. I think a big part will be how the economy does in the next two years. If it goes well Obama needs to set up a Morning in America kind of campaign for the Congressional seats - I think it can be done. Don't be afraid to remind folks of the alternatives.

If Obama gets his tax increase and we get an economy like Clintons with solid work on the deficit, I don't see any reason to think it can't happen. Just don't demonize Silver if the polls show it not happening. Again he is a numbers guy.

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Nate Silver ~ Democrats Unlikely to Regain House in 2014 [View all] boston bean Nov 2012 OP

A year ago we were also told the Democrats would not win the Senate. Instead we have a 10 seat still_one Nov 2012 #1

here's to hoping things will change! boston bean Nov 2012 #2

We were also told that Obama probably would not get re-elected. GoCubsGo Nov 2012 #8

that's not true in the house cali Nov 2012 #10

even without akin a mourdock we still would have the majority in the Senate. As far as the house still_one Nov 2012 #20

we gained the majority of those seats in CA cali Nov 2012 #21

we are moving the right direction. We just got another seat in Arizona today. Things are changing still_one Nov 2012 #22

I agree with the gerrymandered comments, but HooptieWagon Nov 2012 #31

We need to enact districting/anti-gerrymandering laws. reformist2 Nov 2012 #3

Although we Democrats do it just as much frazzled Nov 2012 #5

We have got to figure out how to get out the mid-term vote..... Jade Fox Nov 2012 #4

How about ballot initiatives? NYC Liberal Nov 2012 #6

Good idea.... Jade Fox Nov 2012 #7

Here ya go. 99Forever Nov 2012 #17

We could do in with Howard Dean and the 50 state strategy.. ananda Nov 2012 #9

from you keyboard to the ears of the DNC members dlwickham Nov 2012 #18

The opposition almost always gains in the mid-terms davidn3600 Nov 2012 #11

If the media magically became balanced... upi402 Nov 2012 #13

Maybe if the Repubs are dumb enough to try another impeachment. NYC Liberal Nov 2012 #15

Despite the usual numbers... behindenemylins Nov 2012 #12

"the Cons are going to be out for blood." Hugin Nov 2012 #19

Probably true blue_onyx Nov 2012 #14

That gerrymandering was attempted in Minnesota. MineralMan Nov 2012 #16

actually Dayton was able to veto the maps dsc Nov 2012 #23

That's true, and the redistricting was done in a different way. MineralMan Nov 2012 #24

State level elections, govenors races every ten years after cencus, helped them redistrict. julian09 Nov 2012 #33

Democrats actually did well all things considered, meaning gerrymandering ProSense Nov 2012 #25

the problem is this was a high water mark dsc Nov 2012 #28

At the end of the day exboyfil Nov 2012 #26

So, if Democrats are able to maintain the new configuration it's a win. Kalidurga Nov 2012 #27

It's possible, it'll ProSense Nov 2012 #30

He is correct the odds of doing it are less than 50-50 grantcart Nov 2012 #29

It's Too Early To Make A Prognostication Of That Magnitude. DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2012 #32

did he have any predictions for the 2012 senate race? liberal_at_heart Nov 2012 #34

they also looked to take it 2010 pstokely Nov 2012 #36

That is nothing but a snapshot in time making a prediction two years ahead of time. If we do nothing Texas Lawyer Nov 2012 #35