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Fiendish Thingy

(15,763 posts)

19. And I am suggesting that "shy" Trump voters simply weren't counted in polls

Reply to Drunken Irishman (Reply #18)

Sun Sep 20, 2020, 08:55 PM

Sep 2020

So they weren’t “shy”, they were ignored.

Yes, the undecideds broke in Trump’s favor, but the the undersampling has been shown to have been a major factor in polls missing the mark on Trumps support.

The non-college voters who were undecided Or who supported Trump simply weren’t Captured accurately in polling in 2016- they are now, which is why I’m not worried about “shy” Trump support.

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The shy Trump voter. [View all] Drunken Irishman Sep 2020 OP

The EC was rigged in shithole's favor . . Iliyah Sep 2020 #1

Up until it happened, everyone said the EC was going to save the Democrats in 2016. Drunken Irishman Sep 2020 #3

Nate Silver says BainsBane Sep 2020 #26

It didn't cost her the election because of Pennsylvania... Drunken Irishman Sep 2020 #27

and Trump is targeting Minnesota, BainsBane Sep 2020 #28

It's possible for sure... Drunken Irishman Sep 2020 #29

Obama was exceptional BainsBane Sep 2020 #30

Agree with the overall premise rufus dog Sep 2020 #2

In my old 'con leaning, well-off neighborhood, there are relatively few prez signs up yet. empedocles Sep 2020 #9

Repubs are going to vote for him, a given rufus dog Sep 2020 #11

You completely ignored the 40%+ of American voters who didn't vote in 2016. Blue_true Sep 2020 #4

I can only go by what the polls say. Drunken Irishman Sep 2020 #5

You do have to wonder about the undecideds at this point. TheRealNorth Sep 2020 #6

My parents are shy Biden supporters. musicblind Sep 2020 #7

Yep. I think we're going to see a lot of shy Biden voters. backscatter712 Sep 2020 #8

I think shy and silent are misleading... Drunken Irishman Sep 2020 #10

I just now saw this but still wanted to answer. musicblind Sep 2020 #33

THIS rufus dog Sep 2020 #13

Great Work, But I'll Dissent With The Conclusion ProfessorGAC Sep 2020 #12

Thanks for the post. I was triggered to post it by a recent Florida survey. Drunken Irishman Sep 2020 #14

The Shy Trump voter is a myth- it was a polling error well documented Fiendish Thingy Sep 2020 #15

Thanks. But did you read my post? Drunken Irishman Sep 2020 #16

Did you read my post? The Rust Belt swing in Trump support was due to polling error Fiendish Thingy Sep 2020 #17

I did. I asked if you read my post because you're replying with an irrelevant comment. Drunken Irishman Sep 2020 #18

And I am suggesting that "shy" Trump voters simply weren't counted in polls Fiendish Thingy Sep 2020 #19

I get what you're saying. I'm saying it's irrelevant to my post. Drunken Irishman Sep 2020 #21

Hillary said in her book that her polling numbers were correct. betsuni Sep 2020 #20

I agree polls were largely correct. Drunken Irishman Sep 2020 #22

I'm assuming there'll be more early voting this time, which will help Biden. betsuni Sep 2020 #23

Plus, there's fewer undecided voters this go around - both nationally and in these three states. Drunken Irishman Sep 2020 #24

Thanks for your thoughtful BainsBane Sep 2020 #25

The elephant in the room... albacore Sep 2020 #31

I agree. Was the first election after the repeal of the Voting Rights Act. betsuni Sep 2020 #32