General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Its going to be Stacy Abrams [View all]Celerity
(43,356 posts)a 2020 Senate race if Kennedy ran for it. This is a completely diffrent environment that when Brown won, and he did not have to run against a Kennedy.
In terms if not gaining states, Warren, by far, would bring out the left HALF (not just the radical left 10, 20%) of the party the most of the 11 or so front runners. We can do well with moderates in Swing states, but if the left half and younger voters and A-A do not surge, it defeats the purpose. Warren polls well with A-A and the younger cohorts, and obviously tge left half of the party.
Again, I am not advocating for Biden picking her. TBH, I am happy with anyone he picks, except for Klobuchar. Klobuchar has the biggest negatives of the 11 or 12 choices with multiple key groups. She polls very poorly (worse that Pete did lol) with PoC, A-A,especially and has a problematic racial justice background. She has temperment issues, not just with employees, but ones that came out in the debates. She polls poorly with younger voters, and would be the most hostile pick of the 11 or 12 to the entire left side of the party. In terms of adding states, I think the whole MW powerhouse is overrated, she did not even do well in IA, and brings little to the ticket in terms if winning FL, GA, NC, TX, PA (the AA vote in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh is key), and NV (she did poorly there as well).
If the old maxim 'first do no damage' is to be followed, then Klobuchar is the weakest pick IMHO (unless we are talking Susan Rice, who would be a spectacular VP and even POTUS, but for Benghazi, which fucking SUCKS, as I love her.) We need a ticket with broad appeal, and Amy is certianly not the strongest there at a multiplicity of levels, be it PoC, age cohorts, ideology, etc.
Warren is deffo not without risks herself. High risk, high reward perhaps. I am not saying she is the best choice, not at all. Michelle Obama is not going to do it, I am still pretty sure. I like Abrams, Whitmer has looked great, Lujan Grisham is interesting, Demmings too, but again, I will be happy with most all, save Amy, and even then (Klobuchar is so NOT a deal-breaker level bad, she just is the most problematic for me strategically, but I still will happily vote for her), if Joe picks her (I think there is a high chance he does), I still will obviously work my arse off over here with expats and then internet groups to help CRUSH TRUMP.